Averaging the two sides' own rates: over 2.5 goals in 63% of their games, both teams scoring in 64%, and a two-goal lead for one side or the other in 40%. On the record this leans a goals match.
Barnet: 50 league matches in the bank, 11 from this season and the rest from last season. York City: 50 league matches in the bank, 12 from this season and the rest from last season in the National League.
The question this step asks
Step four is THE BOOKIES' FAVOURITE MARKETS -- over and under, both teams to score, and the two-goal lead that pays the 2UP offer out early -- read from what these two sides have actually produced, with the denominator on every figure. Still no price: these are the match's tendencies, not its odds.
How the counting works, once for the whole step: every figure is counted over ONE side's own matches -- Barnet's numbers over its games, York City's over its own. The two clubs are never pooled into one denominator; where a single figure for this fixture is wanted, it is the AVERAGE of the two sides' rates, and says so.
For the 2UP offer the fact that matters is a two-goal lead for one team or the other at ANY point, not the final margin. In Barnet's own 25 home matches read, one appeared in 9 (36%). In York City's own 23 away matches read, 10 (43%). Averaging the two sides' rates -- never pooling their matches -- that is 40% of games.
The two sides
Barnet -- at home
Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 29 of its own 50 (58%); over 1.5 in 40 (80%); over 3.5 in 20 (40%). At home: over 2.5 in 16 of its 25 (64%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 34 of its own 50 (68%). At home: 17 of its 25 (68%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 13 of its own 50 (26%); failed to score in 7 (14%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Barnet's own 50 matches read: Barnet or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 19 (38%). Barnet itself held the lead in 14, winning 13. In its home matches: one side or the other went two up in 9 of 25.
York City -- away
Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 34 of its own 50 (68%); over 1.5 in 46 (92%); over 3.5 in 22 (44%). Away: over 2.5 in 12 of its 23 (52%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 30 of its own 50 (60%). Away: 14 of its 23 (61%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 19 of its own 50 (38%); failed to score in 1 (2%).
Two goals clear
Counted over York City's own 50 matches read: York City or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 28 (56%). York City itself held the lead in 24, winning 24. In its away matches: one side or the other went two up in 10 of 23.
Built 09:32 from matches completed before
kick-off. Every figure is an observed count with its denominator —
not a forecast, and nothing here is a tip or a selection.