-0.25 points a game is the venue form gap, in Chesterfield's favour: Newport County takes 1.38 a game at home over the last two seasons, Chesterfield 1.62 away.
Newport County: 50 league matches in the bank, 13 from this season and the rest from last season. Chesterfield: 50 league matches in the bank, 13 from this season and the rest from last season.
The question this step asks
Step two is HOME AND AWAY FORM -- the home side judged on its home record, the away side on its away record, because those are the records that will be on the pitch. The last five reach back into last season where this season is too young to answer, and say so.
The two sides
Newport County -- at home
Its record at the relevant venue
This season at home: won 3, drew 3, lost 0 of 6, scoring 10 and conceding 5. Last season at home: won 6, drew 3, lost 9 of 18, scoring 19 and conceding 27 -- 1.17 points a game.
Its last five league matches
Newest first: lost to Cheltenham Town 0-1 away; drew with Rotherham United 2-2 away; drew with York City 1-1 at home; beat Colchester United 1-0 at home; drew with Gillingham 0-0 away.
The dugout
Every one of the 13 banked matches with a manager recorded was taken by Hayden Mullins. Who picks the team today is not yet recorded this season, so a summer change of manager would not show in these figures.
Chesterfield -- away
Its record at the relevant venue
This season away: won 2, drew 1, lost 3 of 6, scoring 7 and conceding 8. Last season away: won 8, drew 8, lost 2 of 18, scoring 24 and conceding 18 -- 1.78 points a game.
Its last five league matches
Newest first: beat Crewe Alexandra 5-1 at home; drew with Colchester United 1-1 at home; lost to Port Vale 0-1 away; drew with Crawley Town 2-2 away; beat Tranmere Rovers 4-2 at home.
The dugout
Every one of the 28 banked matches with a manager recorded was taken by Paul Cook. Who picks the team today is not yet recorded this season, so a summer change of manager would not show in these figures.
Built 21:02 from matches completed before
kick-off. Every figure is an observed count with its denominator —
not a forecast, and nothing here is a tip or a selection.