Averaging the two sides' own rates: over 2.5 goals in 60% of their games, both teams scoring in 61%, and a two-goal lead for one side or the other in 50%. On the record this leans a goals match.
Altrincham: 49 league matches in the bank, 3 from this season and the rest from last season. Halifax Town: 49 league matches in the bank, 3 from this season and the rest from last season.
The question this step asks
Step four is THE BOOKIES' FAVOURITE MARKETS -- over and under, both teams to score, and the two-goal lead that pays the 2UP offer out early -- read from what these two sides have actually produced, with the denominator on every figure. Still no price: these are the match's tendencies, not its odds.
How the counting works, once for the whole step: every figure is counted over ONE side's own matches -- Altrincham's numbers over its games, Halifax Town's over its own. The two clubs are never pooled into one denominator; where a single figure for this fixture is wanted, it is the AVERAGE of the two sides' rates, and says so.
For the 2UP offer the fact that matters is a two-goal lead for one team or the other at ANY point, not the final margin. In Altrincham's own 24 home matches read, one appeared in 12 (50%). In Halifax Town's own 24 away matches read, 12 (50%). Averaging the two sides' rates -- never pooling their matches -- that is 50% of games.
The two sides
Altrincham -- at home
Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 27 of its own 49 (55%); over 1.5 in 36 (73%); over 3.5 in 10 (20%). At home: over 2.5 in 14 of its 24 (58%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 29 of its own 49 (59%). At home: 14 of its 24 (58%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 10 of its own 49 (20%); failed to score in 11 (22%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Altrincham's own 49 matches read: Altrincham or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 18 (37%). Altrincham itself held the lead in 10, winning 10. In its home matches: one side or the other went two up in 12 of 24.
Halifax Town -- away
Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 32 of its own 49 (65%); over 1.5 in 40 (82%); over 3.5 in 16 (33%). Away: over 2.5 in 14 of its 24 (58%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 31 of its own 49 (63%). Away: 13 of its 24 (54%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 12 of its own 49 (24%); failed to score in 7 (14%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Halifax Town's own 49 matches read: Halifax Town or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 23 (47%). Halifax Town itself held the lead in 11, winning 9. In its away matches: one side or the other went two up in 12 of 24.
Built 00:02 from matches completed before
kick-off. Every figure is an observed count with its denominator —
not a forecast, and nothing here is a tip or a selection.