Barrow v Yeovil Town

National League, game week 4 — UK time

Step 4 of 4 — The bookies' favourite markets.

What this step says

Averaging the two sides' own rates: over 2.5 goals in 56% of their games, both teams scoring in 52%, and a two-goal lead for one side or the other in 35%. On the record this leans a goals match.

Skip to the appraisal — and the market

Barrow: 49 league matches in the bank, 3 from this season and the rest from last season in the League Two. Yeovil Town: 49 league matches in the bank, 3 from this season and the rest from last season.

The question this step asks

Step four is THE BOOKIES' FAVOURITE MARKETS -- over and under, both teams to score, and the two-goal lead that pays the 2UP offer out early -- read from what these two sides have actually produced, with the denominator on every figure. Still no price: these are the match's tendencies, not its odds.

How the counting works, once for the whole step: every figure is counted over ONE side's own matches -- Barrow's numbers over its games, Yeovil Town's over its own. The two clubs are never pooled into one denominator; where a single figure for this fixture is wanted, it is the AVERAGE of the two sides' rates, and says so.

For the 2UP offer the fact that matters is a two-goal lead for one team or the other at ANY point, not the final margin. In Barrow's own 24 home matches read, one appeared in 8 (33%). In Yeovil Town's own 24 away matches read, 9 (38%). Averaging the two sides' rates -- never pooling their matches -- that is 35% of games.

The two sides

Barrow -- at home

Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 31 of its own 49 (63%); over 1.5 in 36 (73%); over 3.5 in 16 (33%). At home: over 2.5 in 12 of its 24 (50%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 28 of its own 49 (57%). At home: 11 of its 24 (46%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 7 of its own 49 (14%); failed to score in 18 (37%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Barrow's own 49 matches read: Barrow or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 22 (45%). Barrow itself held the lead in 5, winning 4. In its home matches: one side or the other went two up in 8 of 24.

Yeovil Town -- away

Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 24 of its own 49 (49%); over 1.5 in 35 (71%); over 3.5 in 9 (18%). Away: over 2.5 in 12 of its 24 (50%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 23 of its own 49 (47%). Away: 10 of its 24 (42%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 12 of its own 49 (24%); failed to score in 17 (35%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Yeovil Town's own 49 matches read: Yeovil Town or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 22 (45%). Yeovil Town itself held the lead in 10, winning 9. In its away matches: one side or the other went two up in 9 of 24.

Built 00:02 from matches completed before kick-off. Every figure is an observed count with its denominator — not a forecast, and nothing here is a tip or a selection.