Averaging the two sides' own rates: over 2.5 goals in 49% of their games, both teams scoring in 55%, and a two-goal lead for one side or the other in 52%. On the record there is no strong lean either way on goals.
Hartlepool United: 49 league matches in the bank, 3 from this season and the rest from last season. Eastleigh: 49 league matches in the bank, 3 from this season and the rest from last season.
The question this step asks
Step four is THE BOOKIES' FAVOURITE MARKETS -- over and under, both teams to score, and the two-goal lead that pays the 2UP offer out early -- read from what these two sides have actually produced, with the denominator on every figure. Still no price: these are the match's tendencies, not its odds.
How the counting works, once for the whole step: every figure is counted over ONE side's own matches -- Hartlepool United's numbers over its games, Eastleigh's over its own. The two clubs are never pooled into one denominator; where a single figure for this fixture is wanted, it is the AVERAGE of the two sides' rates, and says so.
For the 2UP offer the fact that matters is a two-goal lead for one team or the other at ANY point, not the final margin. In Hartlepool United's own 24 home matches read, one appeared in 13 (54%). In Eastleigh's own 24 away matches read, 12 (50%). Averaging the two sides' rates -- never pooling their matches -- that is 52% of games.
The two sides
Hartlepool United -- at home
Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 20 of its own 49 (41%); over 1.5 in 33 (67%); over 3.5 in 11 (22%). At home: over 2.5 in 9 of its 24 (38%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 21 of its own 49 (43%). At home: 11 of its 24 (46%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 19 of its own 49 (39%); failed to score in 16 (33%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Hartlepool United's own 49 matches read: Hartlepool United or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 23 (47%). Hartlepool United itself held the lead in 12, winning 12. In its home matches: one side or the other went two up in 13 of 24.
Eastleigh -- away
Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 28 of its own 49 (57%); over 1.5 in 41 (84%); over 3.5 in 17 (35%). Away: over 2.5 in 11 of its 24 (46%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 33 of its own 49 (67%). Away: 12 of its 24 (50%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 4 of its own 49 (8%); failed to score in 13 (27%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Eastleigh's own 49 matches read: Eastleigh or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 26 (53%). Eastleigh itself held the lead in 10, winning 7. In its away matches: one side or the other went two up in 12 of 24.
Built 00:02 from matches completed before
kick-off. Every figure is an observed count with its denominator —
not a forecast, and nothing here is a tip or a selection.