Scunthorpe United v Solihull Moors

National League, game week 4 — UK time

Step 4 of 4 — The bookies' favourite markets.

What this step says

Averaging the two sides' own rates: over 2.5 goals in 56% of their games, both teams scoring in 62%, and a two-goal lead for one side or the other in 41%. On the record this leans a goals match.

Skip to the appraisal — and the market

Scunthorpe United: 50 league matches in the bank, 3 from this season and the rest from last season. Solihull Moors: 49 league matches in the bank, 3 from this season and the rest from last season.

The question this step asks

Step four is THE BOOKIES' FAVOURITE MARKETS -- over and under, both teams to score, and the two-goal lead that pays the 2UP offer out early -- read from what these two sides have actually produced, with the denominator on every figure. Still no price: these are the match's tendencies, not its odds.

How the counting works, once for the whole step: every figure is counted over ONE side's own matches -- Scunthorpe United's numbers over its games, Solihull Moors's over its own. The two clubs are never pooled into one denominator; where a single figure for this fixture is wanted, it is the AVERAGE of the two sides' rates, and says so.

For the 2UP offer the fact that matters is a two-goal lead for one team or the other at ANY point, not the final margin. In Scunthorpe United's own 25 home matches read, one appeared in 9 (36%). In Solihull Moors's own 24 away matches read, 11 (46%). Averaging the two sides' rates -- never pooling their matches -- that is 41% of games.

The two sides

Scunthorpe United -- at home

Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 29 of its own 50 (58%); over 1.5 in 42 (84%); over 3.5 in 17 (34%). At home: over 2.5 in 13 of its 25 (52%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 35 of its own 50 (70%). At home: 15 of its 25 (60%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 9 of its own 50 (18%); failed to score in 7 (14%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Scunthorpe United's own 50 matches read: Scunthorpe United or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 22 (44%). Scunthorpe United itself held the lead in 12, winning 12. In its home matches: one side or the other went two up in 9 of 25.

Solihull Moors -- away

Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 26 of its own 49 (53%); over 1.5 in 39 (80%); over 3.5 in 17 (35%). Away: over 2.5 in 9 of its 24 (38%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 26 of its own 49 (53%). Away: 13 of its 24 (54%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 12 of its own 49 (24%); failed to score in 15 (31%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Solihull Moors's own 49 matches read: Solihull Moors or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 26 (53%). Solihull Moors itself held the lead in 13, winning 10. In its away matches: one side or the other went two up in 11 of 24.

Built 00:02 from matches completed before kick-off. Every figure is an observed count with its denominator — not a forecast, and nothing here is a tip or a selection.