Averaging the two sides' own rates: over 2.5 goals in 43% of their games, both teams scoring in 44%, and a two-goal lead for one side or the other in 79%. On the record this leans a tight match.
Southend United: 50 league matches in the bank, 3 from this season and the rest from last season. Kidderminster Harriers: 3 league matches in the bank.
The question this step asks
Step four is THE BOOKIES' FAVOURITE MARKETS -- over and under, both teams to score, and the two-goal lead that pays the 2UP offer out early -- read from what these two sides have actually produced, with the denominator on every figure. Still no price: these are the match's tendencies, not its odds.
How the counting works, once for the whole step: every figure is counted over ONE side's own matches -- Southend United's numbers over its games, Kidderminster Harriers's over its own. The two clubs are never pooled into one denominator; where a single figure for this fixture is wanted, it is the AVERAGE of the two sides' rates, and says so.
For the 2UP offer the fact that matters is a two-goal lead for one team or the other at ANY point, not the final margin. In Southend United's own 24 home matches read, one appeared in 14 (58%). In Kidderminster Harriers's own 1 away matches read, 1 (100%). Averaging the two sides' rates -- never pooling their matches -- that is 79% of games.
The two sides
Southend United -- at home
Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 26 of its own 50 (52%); over 1.5 in 40 (80%); over 3.5 in 11 (22%). At home: over 2.5 in 10 of its 24 (42%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 27 of its own 50 (54%). At home: 12 of its 24 (50%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 18 of its own 50 (36%); failed to score in 7 (14%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Southend United's own 50 matches read: Southend United or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 26 (52%). Southend United itself held the lead in 19, winning 19. In its home matches: one side or the other went two up in 14 of 24.
Kidderminster Harriers -- away
Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 1 of its own 3 (33%); over 1.5 in 2 (67%); over 3.5 in 0 (0%). Away: over 2.5 in 1 of its 1 (100%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 1 of its own 3 (33%). Away: 0 of its 1 (0%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 1 of its own 3 (33%); failed to score in 1 (33%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Kidderminster Harriers's own 3 matches read: Kidderminster Harriers or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 1 (33%). Kidderminster Harriers itself held the lead in 0. In its away matches: one side or the other went two up in 1 of 1.
Built 00:02 from matches completed before
kick-off. Every figure is an observed count with its denominator —
not a forecast, and nothing here is a tip or a selection.