Averaging the two sides' own rates: over 2.5 goals in 51% of their games, both teams scoring in 60%, and a two-goal lead for one side or the other in 39%. On the record there is no strong lean either way on goals.
Scunthorpe United: 50 league matches in the bank, 5 from this season and the rest from last season. Harrogate Town: 50 league matches in the bank, 5 from this season and the rest from last season in the League Two.
The question this step asks
Step four is THE BOOKIES' FAVOURITE MARKETS -- over and under, both teams to score, and the two-goal lead that pays the 2UP offer out early -- read from what these two sides have actually produced, with the denominator on every figure. Still no price: these are the match's tendencies, not its odds.
How the counting works, once for the whole step: every figure is counted over ONE side's own matches -- Scunthorpe United's numbers over its games, Harrogate Town's over its own. The two clubs are never pooled into one denominator; where a single figure for this fixture is wanted, it is the AVERAGE of the two sides' rates, and says so.
For the 2UP offer the fact that matters is a two-goal lead for one team or the other at ANY point, not the final margin. In Scunthorpe United's own 25 home matches read, one appeared in 9 (36%). In Harrogate Town's own 24 away matches read, 10 (42%). Averaging the two sides' rates -- never pooling their matches -- that is 39% of games.
The two sides
Scunthorpe United -- at home
Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 29 of its own 50 (58%); over 1.5 in 42 (84%); over 3.5 in 17 (34%). At home: over 2.5 in 13 of its 25 (52%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 35 of its own 50 (70%). At home: 15 of its 25 (60%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 9 of its own 50 (18%); failed to score in 7 (14%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Scunthorpe United's own 50 matches read: Scunthorpe United or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 23 (46%). Scunthorpe United itself held the lead in 12, winning 12. In its home matches: one side or the other went two up in 9 of 25.
Harrogate Town -- away
Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 22 of its own 50 (44%); over 1.5 in 37 (74%); over 3.5 in 12 (24%). Away: over 2.5 in 9 of its 24 (38%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 25 of its own 50 (50%). Away: 14 of its 24 (58%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 8 of its own 50 (16%); failed to score in 18 (36%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Harrogate Town's own 50 matches read: Harrogate Town or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 21 (42%). Harrogate Town itself held the lead in 8, winning 7. In its away matches: one side or the other went two up in 10 of 24.
Built 06:10 from matches completed before
kick-off. Every figure is an observed count with its denominator —
not a forecast, and nothing here is a tip or a selection.