Southend United scores heaviest in the 76-90+ spell and concedes heaviest in 61-75; Yeovil Town scores heaviest in 76-90+ and concedes heaviest in 61-75.
Southend United: 50 league matches in the bank, 5 from this season and the rest from last season. Yeovil Town: 50 league matches in the bank, 5 from this season and the rest from last season.
The question this step asks
Step three is GOALS, AND WHEN THEY COME. Not just how many each side scores and lets in, but the minute bands they come in, who lands the first blow, what each side does after falling behind, and who finds goals late. A side that concedes early and scores late reads very differently from one that does the opposite, at the same goal difference.
Side by side: Southend United scores most in the 76-90+ band (27 of 87); Southend United concedes most in the 61-75 band (13 of 54); Yeovil Town scores most in the 76-90+ band (17 of 58); Yeovil Town concedes most in the 61-75 band (17 of 73). Who lands the first blow and who lands the last is the question this step exists to ask.
The two sides
Southend United -- at home
Goals a game
Scores 1.7 and concedes 1.1 a game over its last 50 league matches; at home, 1.7 for and 0.9 against over 24.
When it scores
Of 87 scored across its own 50 matches with times recorded: 1-15: 11; 16-30: 12; 31-45+: 16; 46-60: 11; 61-75: 10; 76-90+: 27. Its heaviest scoring spell is after the 75th minute -- 27 of 87 (31%).
When it concedes
Of 54 conceded across its own 50 matches with times recorded: 1-15: 6; 16-30: 8; 31-45+: 7; 46-60: 10; 61-75: 13; 76-90+: 10.
The first goal
Scored first in 31 of its 50 read -- then won 22, drew 5, lost 4; conceded first in 17 -- pulled back 2 wins and 6 draws from them. Across every match where it trailed at some stage it recovered 13 points.
Two-goal swings
Led by two goals at some point in 17 of its 50 read, winning 17 of them; trailed by two in 8, rescuing 2 results; was ahead at some point without winning in 9.
Yeovil Town -- away
Goals a game
Scores 1.2 and concedes 1.5 a game over its last 50 league matches; away, 1.0 for and 1.4 against over 25.
When it scores
Of 58 scored across its own 50 matches with times recorded: 1-15: 7; 16-30: 11; 31-45+: 7; 46-60: 9; 61-75: 7; 76-90+: 17. Its heaviest scoring spell is after the 75th minute -- 17 of 58 (29%).
When it concedes
Of 73 conceded across its own 50 matches with times recorded: 1-15: 8; 16-30: 11; 31-45+: 14; 46-60: 7; 61-75: 17; 76-90+: 16.
The first goal
Scored first in 24 of its 50 read -- then won 17, drew 4, lost 3; conceded first in 24 -- pulled back 1 win and 1 draw from them. Across every match where it trailed at some stage it recovered 7 points.
Two-goal swings
Led by two goals at some point in 11 of its 50 read, winning 10 of them; trailed by two in 12, rescuing nothing; was ahead at some point without winning in 8.
Built 06:08 from matches completed before
kick-off. Every figure is an observed count with its denominator —
not a forecast, and nothing here is a tip or a selection.