Aldershot Town v Yeovil Town

National League, game week 8 — UK time

Step 4 of 4 — The bookies' favourite markets.

What this step says

Averaging the two sides' own rates: over 2.5 goals in 58% of their games, both teams scoring in 56%, and a two-goal lead for one side or the other in 49%. On the record this leans a goals match.

Skip to the appraisal — and the market

Aldershot Town: 50 league matches in the bank, 7 from this season and the rest from last season. Yeovil Town: 50 league matches in the bank, 7 from this season and the rest from last season.

The question this step asks

Step four is THE BOOKIES' FAVOURITE MARKETS -- over and under, both teams to score, and the two-goal lead that pays the 2UP offer out early -- read from what these two sides have actually produced, with the denominator on every figure. Still no price: these are the match's tendencies, not its odds.

How the counting works, once for the whole step: every figure is counted over ONE side's own matches -- Aldershot Town's numbers over its games, Yeovil Town's over its own. The two clubs are never pooled into one denominator; where a single figure for this fixture is wanted, it is the AVERAGE of the two sides' rates, and says so.

For the 2UP offer the fact that matters is a two-goal lead for one team or the other at ANY point, not the final margin. In Aldershot Town's own 24 home matches read, one appeared in 15 (62%). In Yeovil Town's own 25 away matches read, 9 (36%). Averaging the two sides' rates -- never pooling their matches -- that is 49% of games.

The two sides

Aldershot Town -- at home

Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 31 of its own 50 (62%); over 1.5 in 42 (84%); over 3.5 in 17 (34%). At home: over 2.5 in 15 of its 24 (62%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 30 of its own 50 (60%). At home: 14 of its 24 (58%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 8 of its own 50 (16%); failed to score in 13 (26%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Aldershot Town's own 50 matches read: Aldershot Town or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 28 (56%). Aldershot Town itself held the lead in 10, winning 9. In its home matches: one side or the other went two up in 15 of 24.

Yeovil Town -- away

Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 27 of its own 50 (54%); over 1.5 in 37 (74%); over 3.5 in 12 (24%). Away: over 2.5 in 14 of its 25 (56%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 26 of its own 50 (52%). Away: 12 of its 25 (48%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 11 of its own 50 (22%); failed to score in 15 (30%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Yeovil Town's own 50 matches read: Yeovil Town or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 23 (46%). Yeovil Town itself held the lead in 11, winning 9. In its away matches: one side or the other went two up in 9 of 25.

Built 07:02 from matches completed before kick-off. Every figure is an observed count with its denominator — not a forecast, and nothing here is a tip or a selection.