Averaging the two sides' own rates: over 2.5 goals in 65% of their games, both teams scoring in 67%, and a two-goal lead for one side or the other in 46%. On the record this leans a goals match.
Harrogate Town: 50 league matches in the bank, 7 from this season and the rest from last season in the League Two. Fylde: 7 league matches in the bank.
The question this step asks
Step four is THE BOOKIES' FAVOURITE MARKETS -- over and under, both teams to score, and the two-goal lead that pays the 2UP offer out early -- read from what these two sides have actually produced, with the denominator on every figure. Still no price: these are the match's tendencies, not its odds.
How the counting works, once for the whole step: every figure is counted over ONE side's own matches -- Harrogate Town's numbers over its games, Fylde's over its own. The two clubs are never pooled into one denominator; where a single figure for this fixture is wanted, it is the AVERAGE of the two sides' rates, and says so.
For the 2UP offer the fact that matters is a two-goal lead for one team or the other at ANY point, not the final margin. In Harrogate Town's own 26 home matches read, one appeared in 11 (42%). In Fylde's own 4 away matches read, 2 (50%). Averaging the two sides' rates -- never pooling their matches -- that is 46% of games.
The two sides
Harrogate Town -- at home
Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 22 of its own 50 (44%); over 1.5 in 37 (74%); over 3.5 in 12 (24%). At home: over 2.5 in 13 of its 26 (50%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 24 of its own 50 (48%). At home: 11 of its 26 (42%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 9 of its own 50 (18%); failed to score in 18 (36%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Harrogate Town's own 50 matches read: Harrogate Town or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 22 (44%). Harrogate Town itself held the lead in 9, winning 9. In its home matches: one side or the other went two up in 11 of 26.
Fylde -- away
Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 6 of its own 7 (86%); over 1.5 in 7 (100%); over 3.5 in 5 (71%). Away: over 2.5 in 4 of its 4 (100%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 6 of its own 7 (86%). Away: 4 of its 4 (100%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 1 of its own 7 (14%); failed to score in 0 (0%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Fylde's own 7 matches read: Fylde or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 3 (43%). Fylde itself held the lead in 3, winning 3. In its away matches: one side or the other went two up in 2 of 4.
Built 07:02 from matches completed before
kick-off. Every figure is an observed count with its denominator —
not a forecast, and nothing here is a tip or a selection.