Averaging the two sides' own rates: over 2.5 goals in 59% of their games, both teams scoring in 68%, and a two-goal lead for one side or the other in 52%. On the record this leans a goals match.
Southend United: 50 league matches in the bank, 7 from this season and the rest from last season. Tamworth: 50 league matches in the bank, 7 from this season and the rest from last season.
The question this step asks
Step four is THE BOOKIES' FAVOURITE MARKETS -- over and under, both teams to score, and the two-goal lead that pays the 2UP offer out early -- read from what these two sides have actually produced, with the denominator on every figure. Still no price: these are the match's tendencies, not its odds.
How the counting works, once for the whole step: every figure is counted over ONE side's own matches -- Southend United's numbers over its games, Tamworth's over its own. The two clubs are never pooled into one denominator; where a single figure for this fixture is wanted, it is the AVERAGE of the two sides' rates, and says so.
For the 2UP offer the fact that matters is a two-goal lead for one team or the other at ANY point, not the final margin. In Southend United's own 24 home matches read, one appeared in 15 (62%). In Tamworth's own 26 away matches read, 11 (42%). Averaging the two sides' rates -- never pooling their matches -- that is 52% of games.
The two sides
Southend United -- at home
Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 28 of its own 50 (56%); over 1.5 in 42 (84%); over 3.5 in 14 (28%). At home: over 2.5 in 12 of its 24 (50%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 31 of its own 50 (62%). At home: 14 of its 24 (58%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 14 of its own 50 (28%); failed to score in 6 (12%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Southend United's own 50 matches read: Southend United or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 26 (52%). Southend United itself held the lead in 17, winning 17. In its home matches: one side or the other went two up in 15 of 24.
Tamworth -- away
Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 31 of its own 50 (62%); over 1.5 in 40 (80%); over 3.5 in 21 (42%). Away: over 2.5 in 20 of its 26 (77%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 37 of its own 50 (74%). Away: 21 of its 26 (81%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 7 of its own 50 (14%); failed to score in 8 (16%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Tamworth's own 50 matches read: Tamworth or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 18 (36%). Tamworth itself held the lead in 5, winning 5. In its away matches: one side or the other went two up in 11 of 26.
Built 07:02 from matches completed before
kick-off. Every figure is an observed count with its denominator —
not a forecast, and nothing here is a tip or a selection.