Averaging the two sides' own rates: over 2.5 goals in 49% of their games, both teams scoring in 52%, and a two-goal lead for one side or the other in 43%. On the record there is no strong lean either way on goals.
Altrincham: 50 league matches in the bank, 7 from this season and the rest from last season. Hartlepool United: 50 league matches in the bank, 7 from this season and the rest from last season.
The question this step asks
Step four is THE BOOKIES' FAVOURITE MARKETS -- over and under, both teams to score, and the two-goal lead that pays the 2UP offer out early -- read from what these two sides have actually produced, with the denominator on every figure. Still no price: these are the match's tendencies, not its odds.
How the counting works, once for the whole step: every figure is counted over ONE side's own matches -- Altrincham's numbers over its games, Hartlepool United's over its own. The two clubs are never pooled into one denominator; where a single figure for this fixture is wanted, it is the AVERAGE of the two sides' rates, and says so.
For the 2UP offer the fact that matters is a two-goal lead for one team or the other at ANY point, not the final margin. In Altrincham's own 24 home matches read, one appeared in 11 (46%). In Hartlepool United's own 25 away matches read, 10 (40%). Averaging the two sides' rates -- never pooling their matches -- that is 43% of games.
The two sides
Altrincham -- at home
Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 29 of its own 50 (58%); over 1.5 in 37 (74%); over 3.5 in 10 (20%). At home: over 2.5 in 15 of its 24 (62%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 31 of its own 50 (62%). At home: 15 of its 24 (62%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 10 of its own 50 (20%); failed to score in 10 (20%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Altrincham's own 50 matches read: Altrincham or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 18 (36%). Altrincham itself held the lead in 10, winning 10. In its home matches: one side or the other went two up in 11 of 24.
Hartlepool United -- away
Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 20 of its own 50 (40%); over 1.5 in 32 (64%); over 3.5 in 11 (22%). Away: over 2.5 in 11 of its 25 (44%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 21 of its own 50 (42%). Away: 10 of its 25 (40%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 17 of its own 50 (34%); failed to score in 18 (36%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Hartlepool United's own 50 matches read: Hartlepool United or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 22 (44%). Hartlepool United itself held the lead in 10, winning 10. In its away matches: one side or the other went two up in 10 of 25.
Built 07:03 from matches completed before
kick-off. Every figure is an observed count with its denominator —
not a forecast, and nothing here is a tip or a selection.