+0.59 points a game is the venue form gap, in Altrincham's favour: Altrincham takes 1.79 a game at home over the last two seasons, AFC Hornchurch 1.20 away.
Altrincham: 50 league matches in the bank, 9 from this season and the rest from last season. AFC Hornchurch: 9 league matches in the bank.
The question this step asks
Step two is HOME AND AWAY FORM -- the home side judged on its home record, the away side on its away record, because those are the records that will be on the pitch. The last five reach back into last season where this season is too young to answer, and say so.
The two sides
Altrincham -- at home
Its record at the relevant venue
This season at home: won 3, drew 0, lost 1 of 4, scoring 7 and conceding 6. Last season at home: won 11, drew 1, lost 8 of 20, scoring 28 and conceding 24 -- 1.70 points a game.
Its last five league matches
Newest first: beat Fylde 2-1 away; beat Hartlepool United 2-1 at home; lost to Woking 1-5 away; beat Eastleigh 2-1 at home; beat Forest Green Rovers 2-1 away.
The dugout
The banked record belongs to the club, not one man: 2 different managers took its 21 matches with one recorded (15, 6 apiece), most recently Neil Gibson with 15. Who picks the team today is not yet recorded this season, so a summer change of manager would not show in these figures.
AFC Hornchurch -- away
Its record at the relevant venue
This season away: won 2, drew 0, lost 3 of 5, scoring 6 and conceding 11.
Its last five league matches
Newest first: beat Scunthorpe United 1-0 at home; lost to Worthing 0-1 away; lost to Halifax Town 0-3 away; lost to Forest Green Rovers 0-1 at home; beat Boston United 3-2 away.
The dugout
Every one of the 9 banked matches with a manager recorded was taken by Daryl McMahon. Who picks the team today is not yet recorded this season, so a summer change of manager would not show in these figures.
Built 00:05 from matches completed before
kick-off. Every figure is an observed count with its denominator —
not a forecast, and nothing here is a tip or a selection.