Averaging the two sides' own rates: over 2.5 goals in 71% of their games, both teams scoring in 76%, and a two-goal lead for one side or the other in 45%. On the record this leans a goals match.
Boston United: 50 league matches in the bank, 9 from this season and the rest from last season. Fylde: 9 league matches in the bank.
The question this step asks
Step four is THE BOOKIES' FAVOURITE MARKETS -- over and under, both teams to score, and the two-goal lead that pays the 2UP offer out early -- read from what these two sides have actually produced, with the denominator on every figure. Still no price: these are the match's tendencies, not its odds.
How the counting works, once for the whole step: every figure is counted over ONE side's own matches -- Boston United's numbers over its games, Fylde's over its own. The two clubs are never pooled into one denominator; where a single figure for this fixture is wanted, it is the AVERAGE of the two sides' rates, and says so.
For the 2UP offer the fact that matters is a two-goal lead for one team or the other at ANY point, not the final margin. In Boston United's own 26 home matches read, one appeared in 8 (31%). In Fylde's own 5 away matches read, 3 (60%). Averaging the two sides' rates -- never pooling their matches -- that is 45% of games.
The two sides
Boston United -- at home
Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 27 of its own 50 (54%); over 1.5 in 39 (78%); over 3.5 in 16 (32%). At home: over 2.5 in 13 of its 26 (50%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 32 of its own 50 (64%). At home: 14 of its 26 (54%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 11 of its own 50 (22%); failed to score in 10 (20%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Boston United's own 50 matches read: Boston United or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 18 (36%). Boston United itself held the lead in 11, winning 10. In its home matches: one side or the other went two up in 8 of 26.
Fylde -- away
Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 8 of its own 9 (89%); over 1.5 in 9 (100%); over 3.5 in 5 (56%). Away: over 2.5 in 5 of its 5 (100%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 8 of its own 9 (89%). Away: 5 of its 5 (100%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 1 of its own 9 (11%); failed to score in 0 (0%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Fylde's own 9 matches read: Fylde or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 4 (44%). Fylde itself held the lead in 4, winning 4. In its away matches: one side or the other went two up in 3 of 5.
Built 00:05 from matches completed before
kick-off. Every figure is an observed count with its denominator —
not a forecast, and nothing here is a tip or a selection.