Averaging the two sides' own rates: over 2.5 goals in 50% of their games, both teams scoring in 54%, and a two-goal lead for one side or the other in 40%. On the record there is no strong lean either way on goals.
Scunthorpe United: 50 league matches in the bank, 9 from this season and the rest from last season. Hartlepool United: 50 league matches in the bank, 9 from this season and the rest from last season.
The question this step asks
Step four is THE BOOKIES' FAVOURITE MARKETS -- over and under, both teams to score, and the two-goal lead that pays the 2UP offer out early -- read from what these two sides have actually produced, with the denominator on every figure. Still no price: these are the match's tendencies, not its odds.
How the counting works, once for the whole step: every figure is counted over ONE side's own matches -- Scunthorpe United's numbers over its games, Hartlepool United's over its own. The two clubs are never pooled into one denominator; where a single figure for this fixture is wanted, it is the AVERAGE of the two sides' rates, and says so.
For the 2UP offer the fact that matters is a two-goal lead for one team or the other at ANY point, not the final margin. In Scunthorpe United's own 25 home matches read, one appeared in 10 (40%). In Hartlepool United's own 25 away matches read, 10 (40%). Averaging the two sides' rates -- never pooling their matches -- that is 40% of games.
The two sides
Scunthorpe United -- at home
Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 29 of its own 50 (58%); over 1.5 in 41 (82%); over 3.5 in 17 (34%). At home: over 2.5 in 13 of its 25 (52%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 32 of its own 50 (64%). At home: 14 of its 25 (56%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 10 of its own 50 (20%); failed to score in 9 (18%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Scunthorpe United's own 50 matches read: Scunthorpe United or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 25 (50%). Scunthorpe United itself held the lead in 13, winning 13. In its home matches: one side or the other went two up in 10 of 25.
Hartlepool United -- away
Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 21 of its own 50 (42%); over 1.5 in 32 (64%); over 3.5 in 12 (24%). Away: over 2.5 in 12 of its 25 (48%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 22 of its own 50 (44%). Away: 10 of its 25 (40%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 16 of its own 50 (32%); failed to score in 18 (36%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Hartlepool United's own 50 matches read: Hartlepool United or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 22 (44%). Hartlepool United itself held the lead in 9, winning 9. In its away matches: one side or the other went two up in 10 of 25.
Built 00:05 from matches completed before
kick-off. Every figure is an observed count with its denominator —
not a forecast, and nothing here is a tip or a selection.