Averaging the two sides' own rates: over 2.5 goals in 46% of their games, both teams scoring in 49%, and a two-goal lead for one side or the other in 48%. On the record there is no strong lean either way on goals.
Hartlepool United: 50 league matches in the bank, 10 from this season and the rest from last season. Harrogate Town: 50 league matches in the bank, 10 from this season and the rest from last season in the League Two.
The question this step asks
Step four is THE BOOKIES' FAVOURITE MARKETS -- over and under, both teams to score, and the two-goal lead that pays the 2UP offer out early -- read from what these two sides have actually produced, with the denominator on every figure. Still no price: these are the match's tendencies, not its odds.
How the counting works, once for the whole step: every figure is counted over ONE side's own matches -- Hartlepool United's numbers over its games, Harrogate Town's over its own. The two clubs are never pooled into one denominator; where a single figure for this fixture is wanted, it is the AVERAGE of the two sides' rates, and says so.
For the 2UP offer the fact that matters is a two-goal lead for one team or the other at ANY point, not the final margin. In Hartlepool United's own 24 home matches read, one appeared in 12 (50%). In Harrogate Town's own 24 away matches read, 11 (46%). Averaging the two sides' rates -- never pooling their matches -- that is 48% of games.
The two sides
Hartlepool United -- at home
Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 22 of its own 50 (44%); over 1.5 in 33 (66%); over 3.5 in 13 (26%). At home: over 2.5 in 9 of its 24 (38%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 23 of its own 50 (46%). At home: 12 of its 24 (50%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 15 of its own 50 (30%); failed to score in 17 (34%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Hartlepool United's own 50 matches read: Hartlepool United or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 23 (46%). Hartlepool United itself held the lead in 9, winning 9. In its home matches: one side or the other went two up in 12 of 24.
Harrogate Town -- away
Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 24 of its own 50 (48%); over 1.5 in 38 (76%); over 3.5 in 14 (28%). Away: over 2.5 in 10 of its 24 (42%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 26 of its own 50 (52%). Away: 14 of its 24 (58%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 8 of its own 50 (16%); failed to score in 17 (34%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Harrogate Town's own 50 matches read: Harrogate Town or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 24 (48%). Harrogate Town itself held the lead in 10, winning 10. In its away matches: one side or the other went two up in 11 of 24.
Built 19:01 from matches completed before
kick-off. Every figure is an observed count with its denominator —
not a forecast, and nothing here is a tip or a selection.