-0.20 points a game is the venue form gap, in Southend United's favour: Eastleigh takes 1.28 a game at home over the last two seasons, Southend United 1.48 away.
Eastleigh: 50 league matches in the bank, 10 from this season and the rest from last season. Southend United: 50 league matches in the bank, 10 from this season and the rest from last season.
The question this step asks
Step two is HOME AND AWAY FORM -- the home side judged on its home record, the away side on its away record, because those are the records that will be on the pitch. The last five reach back into last season where this season is too young to answer, and say so.
The two sides
Eastleigh -- at home
Its record at the relevant venue
This season at home: won 3, drew 2, lost 0 of 5, scoring 8 and conceding 5. Last season at home: won 5, drew 6, lost 9 of 20, scoring 28 and conceding 40 -- 1.05 points a game.
Its last five league matches
Newest first: lost to Harrogate Town 1-4 away; beat Carlisle United 1-0 at home; lost to Sutton United 1-2 away; drew with Boreham Wood 1-1 at home; lost to Altrincham 1-2 away.
The dugout
The banked record belongs to the club, not one man: 4 different managers took its 20 matches with one recorded (10, 5, 4, 1 apiece), most recently Matt Gray with 10. Who picks the team today is not yet recorded this season, so a summer change of manager would not show in these figures.
Southend United -- away
Its record at the relevant venue
This season away: won 3, drew 2, lost 0 of 5, scoring 15 and conceding 6. Last season away: won 7, drew 5, lost 8 of 20, scoring 34 and conceding 25 -- 1.30 points a game.
Its last five league matches
Newest first: lost to Barrow 2-4 at home; beat Gateshead 6-1 away; beat Tamworth 3-1 at home; drew with Carlisle United 2-2 away; beat Yeovil Town 3-2 at home.
The dugout
Every one of the 14 banked matches with a manager recorded was taken by Kevin Maher. Who picks the team today is not yet recorded this season, so a summer change of manager would not show in these figures.
Built 19:01 from matches completed before
kick-off. Every figure is an observed count with its denominator —
not a forecast, and nothing here is a tip or a selection.