Averaging the two sides' own rates: over 2.5 goals in 60% of their games, both teams scoring in 45%, and a two-goal lead for one side or the other in 38%. On the record this leans a goals match.
AFC Hornchurch: 14 league matches in the bank. Yeovil Town: 50 league matches in the bank, 14 from this season and the rest from last season.
The question this step asks
Step four is THE BOOKIES' FAVOURITE MARKETS -- over and under, both teams to score, and the two-goal lead that pays the 2UP offer out early -- read from what these two sides have actually produced, with the denominator on every figure. Still no price: these are the match's tendencies, not its odds.
How the counting works, once for the whole step: every figure is counted over ONE side's own matches -- AFC Hornchurch's numbers over its games, Yeovil Town's over its own. The two clubs are never pooled into one denominator; where a single figure for this fixture is wanted, it is the AVERAGE of the two sides' rates, and says so.
For the 2UP offer the fact that matters is a two-goal lead for one team or the other at ANY point, not the final margin. In AFC Hornchurch's own 6 home matches read, one appeared in 2 (33%). In Yeovil Town's own 24 away matches read, 10 (42%). Averaging the two sides' rates -- never pooling their matches -- that is 38% of games.
The two sides
AFC Hornchurch -- at home
Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 9 of its own 14 (64%); over 1.5 in 10 (71%); over 3.5 in 2 (14%). At home: over 2.5 in 2 of its 6 (33%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 5 of its own 14 (36%). At home: 1 of its 6 (17%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 4 of its own 14 (29%); failed to score in 5 (36%).
Two goals clear
Counted over AFC Hornchurch's own 14 matches read: AFC Hornchurch or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 7 (50%). AFC Hornchurch itself held the lead in 3, winning 3. In its home matches: one side or the other went two up in 2 of 6.
Yeovil Town -- away
Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 28 of its own 50 (56%); over 1.5 in 40 (80%); over 3.5 in 12 (24%). Away: over 2.5 in 14 of its 24 (58%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 27 of its own 50 (54%). Away: 12 of its 24 (50%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 12 of its own 50 (24%); failed to score in 13 (26%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Yeovil Town's own 50 matches read: Yeovil Town or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 24 (48%). Yeovil Town itself held the lead in 13, winning 12. In its away matches: one side or the other went two up in 10 of 24.
Built 10:02 from matches completed before
kick-off. Every figure is an observed count with its denominator —
not a forecast, and nothing here is a tip or a selection.