Averaging the two sides' own rates: over 2.5 goals in 48% of their games, both teams scoring in 56%, and a two-goal lead for one side or the other in 58%. On the record there is no strong lean either way on goals.
Altrincham: 50 league matches in the bank, 14 from this season and the rest from last season. Kidderminster Harriers: 14 league matches in the bank.
The question this step asks
Step four is THE BOOKIES' FAVOURITE MARKETS -- over and under, both teams to score, and the two-goal lead that pays the 2UP offer out early -- read from what these two sides have actually produced, with the denominator on every figure. Still no price: these are the match's tendencies, not its odds.
How the counting works, once for the whole step: every figure is counted over ONE side's own matches -- Altrincham's numbers over its games, Kidderminster Harriers's over its own. The two clubs are never pooled into one denominator; where a single figure for this fixture is wanted, it is the AVERAGE of the two sides' rates, and says so.
For the 2UP offer the fact that matters is a two-goal lead for one team or the other at ANY point, not the final margin. In Altrincham's own 24 home matches read, one appeared in 12 (50%). In Kidderminster Harriers's own 6 away matches read, 4 (67%). Averaging the two sides' rates -- never pooling their matches -- that is 58% of games.
The two sides
Altrincham -- at home
Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 30 of its own 50 (60%); over 1.5 in 36 (72%); over 3.5 in 11 (22%). At home: over 2.5 in 16 of its 24 (67%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 31 of its own 50 (62%). At home: 15 of its 24 (62%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 10 of its own 50 (20%); failed to score in 10 (20%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Altrincham's own 50 matches read: Altrincham or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 18 (36%). Altrincham itself held the lead in 10, winning 10. In its home matches: one side or the other went two up in 12 of 24.
Kidderminster Harriers -- away
Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 5 of its own 14 (36%); over 1.5 in 9 (64%); over 3.5 in 3 (21%). Away: over 2.5 in 4 of its 6 (67%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 7 of its own 14 (50%). Away: 3 of its 6 (50%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 5 of its own 14 (36%); failed to score in 4 (29%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Kidderminster Harriers's own 14 matches read: Kidderminster Harriers or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 5 (36%). Kidderminster Harriers itself held the lead in 3, winning 3. In its away matches: one side or the other went two up in 4 of 6.
Built 10:03 from matches completed before
kick-off. Every figure is an observed count with its denominator —
not a forecast, and nothing here is a tip or a selection.