Averaging the two sides' own rates: over 2.5 goals in 39% of their games, both teams scoring in 41%, and a two-goal lead for one side or the other in 50%. On the record this leans a tight match.
Inverness CT: 40 league matches in the bank, 4 from this season and the rest from last season in the Scottish League One. Raith Rovers: 40 league matches in the bank, 4 from this season and the rest from last season.
The question this step asks
Step four is THE BOOKIES' FAVOURITE MARKETS -- over and under, both teams to score, and the two-goal lead that pays the 2UP offer out early -- read from what these two sides have actually produced, with the denominator on every figure. Still no price: these are the match's tendencies, not its odds.
How the counting works, once for the whole step: every figure is counted over ONE side's own matches -- Inverness CT's numbers over its games, Raith Rovers's over its own. The two clubs are never pooled into one denominator; where a single figure for this fixture is wanted, it is the AVERAGE of the two sides' rates, and says so.
For the 2UP offer the fact that matters is a two-goal lead for one team or the other at ANY point, not the final margin. In Inverness CT's own 20 home matches read, one appeared in 10 (50%). In Raith Rovers's own 20 away matches read, 10 (50%). Averaging the two sides' rates -- never pooling their matches -- that is 50% of games.
The two sides
Inverness CT -- at home
Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 15 of its own 40 (38%); over 1.5 in 28 (70%); over 3.5 in 10 (25%). At home: over 2.5 in 10 of its 20 (50%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 19 of its own 40 (48%). At home: 11 of its 20 (55%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 20 of its own 40 (50%); failed to score in 5 (12%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Inverness CT's own 40 matches read: Inverness CT or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 17 (42%). Inverness CT itself held the lead in 14, winning 14. In its home matches: one side or the other went two up in 10 of 20.
Raith Rovers -- away
Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 16 of its own 40 (40%); over 1.5 in 30 (75%); over 3.5 in 7 (18%). Away: over 2.5 in 6 of its 20 (30%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 14 of its own 40 (35%). Away: 5 of its 20 (25%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 16 of its own 40 (40%); failed to score in 17 (42%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Raith Rovers's own 40 matches read: Raith Rovers or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 24 (60%). Raith Rovers itself held the lead in 10, winning 10. In its away matches: one side or the other went two up in 10 of 20.
Built 06:39 from matches completed before
kick-off. Every figure is an observed count with its denominator —
not a forecast, and nothing here is a tip or a selection.