-0.67 points a game is the venue form gap, in Stenhousemuir's favour: Ayr United takes 1.10 a game at home over the last two seasons, Stenhousemuir 1.76 away.
Ayr United: 43 league matches in the bank, 7 from this season and the rest from last season. Stenhousemuir: 43 league matches in the bank, 7 from this season and the rest from last season in the Scottish League One.
The question this step asks
Step two is HOME AND AWAY FORM -- the home side judged on its home record, the away side on its away record, because those are the records that will be on the pitch. The last five reach back into last season where this season is too young to answer, and say so.
The two sides
Ayr United -- at home
Its record at the relevant venue
This season at home: won 1, drew 1, lost 1 of 3, scoring 4 and conceding 4. Last season at home: won 4, drew 7, lost 7 of 18, scoring 17 and conceding 22 -- 1.06 points a game.
Its last five league matches
Newest first: beat Queen's Park 2-0 away; lost to Inverness CT 1-3 at home; lost to Partick Thistle 0-1 away; drew with Greenock Morton 1-1 at home; lost to Raith Rovers 0-2 away.
The dugout
The banked record belongs to the club, not one man: 3 different managers took its 19 matches with one recorded (7, 6, 6 apiece), most recently Gary Naysmith with 7. Who picks the team today is not yet recorded this season, so a summer change of manager would not show in these figures.
Stenhousemuir -- away
Its record at the relevant venue
This season away: won 2, drew 1, lost 0 of 3, scoring 4 and conceding 1. Last season away in the Scottish League One: won 8, drew 6, lost 4 of 18, scoring 19 and conceding 15 -- 1.67 points a game.
Its last five league matches
Newest first: beat Arbroath 1-0 at home; beat Partick Thistle 1-0 at home; beat Livingston 1-0 away; beat Inverness CT 3-1 at home; beat Queen's Park 2-0 away.
The dugout
The banked record belongs to the club, not one man: 2 different managers took its 20 matches with one recorded (13, 7 apiece), most recently Marvin Bartley with 7. Who picks the team today is not yet recorded this season, so a summer change of manager would not show in these figures.
Built 19:01 from matches completed before
kick-off. Every figure is an observed count with its denominator —
not a forecast, and nothing here is a tip or a selection.