Averaging the two sides' own rates: over 2.5 goals in 41% of their games, both teams scoring in 54%, and a two-goal lead for one side or the other in 33%. On the record this leans a tight match.
Greenock Morton: 46 league matches in the bank, 10 from this season and the rest from last season. Queen's Park: 46 league matches in the bank, 10 from this season and the rest from last season.
The question this step asks
Step four is THE BOOKIES' FAVOURITE MARKETS -- over and under, both teams to score, and the two-goal lead that pays the 2UP offer out early -- read from what these two sides have actually produced, with the denominator on every figure. Still no price: these are the match's tendencies, not its odds.
How the counting works, once for the whole step: every figure is counted over ONE side's own matches -- Greenock Morton's numbers over its games, Queen's Park's over its own. The two clubs are never pooled into one denominator; where a single figure for this fixture is wanted, it is the AVERAGE of the two sides' rates, and says so.
For the 2UP offer the fact that matters is a two-goal lead for one team or the other at ANY point, not the final margin. In Greenock Morton's own 23 home matches read, one appeared in 6 (26%). In Queen's Park's own 23 away matches read, 9 (39%). Averaging the two sides' rates -- never pooling their matches -- that is 33% of games.
The two sides
Greenock Morton -- at home
Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 20 of its own 46 (43%); over 1.5 in 35 (76%); over 3.5 in 10 (22%). At home: over 2.5 in 8 of its 23 (35%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 26 of its own 46 (57%). At home: 11 of its 23 (48%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 9 of its own 46 (20%); failed to score in 15 (33%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Greenock Morton's own 46 matches read: Greenock Morton or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 15 (33%). Greenock Morton itself held the lead in 6, winning 5. In its home matches: one side or the other went two up in 6 of 23.
Queen's Park -- away
Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 18 of its own 46 (39%); over 1.5 in 33 (72%); over 3.5 in 7 (15%). Away: over 2.5 in 9 of its 23 (39%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 24 of its own 46 (52%). Away: 12 of its 23 (52%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 10 of its own 46 (22%); failed to score in 18 (39%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Queen's Park's own 46 matches read: Queen's Park or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 16 (35%). Queen's Park itself held the lead in 1, winning 1. In its away matches: one side or the other went two up in 9 of 23.
Built 07:05 from matches completed before
kick-off. Every figure is an observed count with its denominator —
not a forecast, and nothing here is a tip or a selection.