-0.09 points a game is the venue form gap, in Ayr United's favour: Greenock Morton takes 1.08 a game at home over the last two seasons, Ayr United 1.17 away.
Greenock Morton: 47 league matches in the bank, 11 from this season and the rest from last season. Ayr United: 47 league matches in the bank, 11 from this season and the rest from last season.
The question this step asks
Step two is HOME AND AWAY FORM -- the home side judged on its home record, the away side on its away record, because those are the records that will be on the pitch. The last five reach back into last season where this season is too young to answer, and say so.
The two sides
Greenock Morton -- at home
Its record at the relevant venue
This season at home: won 1, drew 0, lost 5 of 6, scoring 5 and conceding 10. Last season at home: won 5, drew 8, lost 5 of 18, scoring 16 and conceding 18 -- 1.28 points a game.
Its last five league matches
Newest first: beat Queen's Park 2-0 at home; beat Arbroath 2-1 away; lost to Raith Rovers 1-2 at home; lost to Inverness CT 0-2 away; lost to Dunfermline Athletic 0-1 at home.
The dugout
The banked record belongs to the club, not one man: 2 different managers took its 24 matches with one recorded (17, 7 apiece), most recently Ian Murray with 17. Who picks the team today is not yet recorded this season, so a summer change of manager would not show in these figures.
Ayr United -- away
Its record at the relevant venue
This season away: won 2, drew 1, lost 2 of 5, scoring 5 and conceding 5. Last season away: won 4, drew 8, lost 6 of 18, scoring 21 and conceding 25 -- 1.11 points a game.
Its last five league matches
Newest first: lost to Partick Thistle 0-1 at home; drew with Dunfermline Athletic 1-1 at home; beat Livingston 2-1 away; lost to Stenhousemuir 0-1 at home; beat Queen's Park 2-0 away.
The dugout
The banked record belongs to the club, not one man: 3 different managers took its 23 matches with one recorded (11, 6, 6 apiece), most recently Gary Naysmith with 11. Who picks the team today is not yet recorded this season, so a summer change of manager would not show in these figures.
Built 15:37 from matches completed before
kick-off. Every figure is an observed count with its denominator —
not a forecast, and nothing here is a tip or a selection.