+1.49 points a game is the venue form gap, in Inverness CT's favour: Inverness CT takes 2.25 a game at home over the last two seasons, Livingston 0.76 away.
Inverness CT: 49 league matches in the bank, 13 from this season and the rest from last season in the Scottish League One. Livingston: 50 league matches in the bank, 13 from this season and the rest from last season in the Scottish Premiership.
The question this step asks
Step two is HOME AND AWAY FORM -- the home side judged on its home record, the away side on its away record, because those are the records that will be on the pitch. The last five reach back into last season where this season is too young to answer, and say so.
The two sides
Inverness CT -- at home
Its record at the relevant venue
This season at home: won 3, drew 2, lost 1 of 6, scoring 7 and conceding 3. Last season at home in the Scottish League One: won 13, drew 4, lost 1 of 18, scoring 38 and conceding 12 -- 2.39 points a game.
Its last five league matches
Newest first: lost to Dunfermline Athletic 1-5 away; beat Raith Rovers 2-0 away; beat Arbroath 2-0 at home; lost to Queen's Park 1-2 away; beat Stenhousemuir 2-0 at home.
The dugout
Every one of the 24 banked matches with a manager recorded was taken by Scott Kellacher. Who picks the team today is not yet recorded this season, so a summer change of manager would not show in these figures.
Livingston -- away
Its record at the relevant venue
This season away: won 3, drew 1, lost 2 of 6, scoring 9 and conceding 4. Last season away in the Scottish Premiership: won 1, drew 6, lost 12 of 19, scoring 14 and conceding 37 -- 0.47 points a game.
Its last five league matches
Newest first: beat Stenhousemuir 3-0 away; beat Arbroath 1-0 at home; drew with Dunfermline Athletic 0-0 away; lost to Partick Thistle 1-2 at home; lost to Ayr United 1-2 at home.
The dugout
The banked record belongs to the club, not one man: 2 different managers took its 23 matches with one recorded (17, 6 apiece), most recently Marvin Bartley with 6. Who picks the team today is not yet recorded this season, so a summer change of manager would not show in these figures.
Built 10:04 from matches completed before
kick-off. Every figure is an observed count with its denominator —
not a forecast, and nothing here is a tip or a selection.