Ross County v Queen of the South

Scottish League One, game week 3 — UK time

Step 4 of 4 — The bookies' favourite markets.

What this step says

Averaging the two sides' own rates: over 2.5 goals in 52% of their games, both teams scoring in 50%, and a two-goal lead for one side or the other in 62%. On the record there is no strong lean either way on goals.

Skip to the appraisal — and the market

Ross County: 41 league matches in the bank, 5 from this season and the rest from last season in the Scottish Championship. Queen of the South: 42 league matches in the bank, 6 from this season and the rest from last season.

The question this step asks

Step four is THE BOOKIES' FAVOURITE MARKETS -- over and under, both teams to score, and the two-goal lead that pays the 2UP offer out early -- read from what these two sides have actually produced, with the denominator on every figure. Still no price: these are the match's tendencies, not its odds.

How the counting works, once for the whole step: every figure is counted over ONE side's own matches -- Ross County's numbers over its games, Queen of the South's over its own. The two clubs are never pooled into one denominator; where a single figure for this fixture is wanted, it is the AVERAGE of the two sides' rates, and says so.

For the 2UP offer the fact that matters is a two-goal lead for one team or the other at ANY point, not the final margin. In Ross County's own 20 home matches read, one appeared in 13 (65%). In Queen of the South's own 20 away matches read, 12 (60%). Averaging the two sides' rates -- never pooling their matches -- that is 62% of games.

The two sides

Ross County -- at home

Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 22 of its own 41 (54%); over 1.5 in 29 (71%); over 3.5 in 14 (34%). At home: over 2.5 in 13 of its 20 (65%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 17 of its own 41 (41%). At home: 9 of its 20 (45%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 12 of its own 41 (29%); failed to score in 16 (39%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Ross County's own 41 matches read: Ross County or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 20 (49%). Ross County itself held the lead in 10, winning 7. In its home matches: one side or the other went two up in 13 of 20.

Queen of the South -- away

Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 21 of its own 42 (50%); over 1.5 in 38 (90%); over 3.5 in 12 (29%). Away: over 2.5 in 10 of its 20 (50%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 25 of its own 42 (60%). Away: 12 of its 20 (60%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 9 of its own 42 (21%); failed to score in 9 (21%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Queen of the South's own 42 matches read: Queen of the South or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 22 (52%). Queen of the South itself held the lead in 11, winning 11. In its away matches: one side or the other went two up in 12 of 20.

Built 07:32 from matches completed before kick-off. Every figure is an observed count with its denominator — not a forecast, and nothing here is a tip or a selection.