Averaging the two sides' own rates: over 2.5 goals in 47% of their games, both teams scoring in 43%, and a two-goal lead for one side or the other in 46%. On the record there is no strong lean either way on goals.
Alloa Athletic: 49 league matches in the bank, 13 from this season and the rest from last season. Airdrieonians: 49 league matches in the bank, 13 from this season and the rest from last season in the Scottish Championship.
The question this step asks
Step four is THE BOOKIES' FAVOURITE MARKETS -- over and under, both teams to score, and the two-goal lead that pays the 2UP offer out early -- read from what these two sides have actually produced, with the denominator on every figure. Still no price: these are the match's tendencies, not its odds.
How the counting works, once for the whole step: every figure is counted over ONE side's own matches -- Alloa Athletic's numbers over its games, Airdrieonians's over its own. The two clubs are never pooled into one denominator; where a single figure for this fixture is wanted, it is the AVERAGE of the two sides' rates, and says so.
For the 2UP offer the fact that matters is a two-goal lead for one team or the other at ANY point, not the final margin. In Alloa Athletic's own 24 home matches read, one appeared in 10 (42%). In Airdrieonians's own 24 away matches read, 12 (50%). Averaging the two sides' rates -- never pooling their matches -- that is 46% of games.
The two sides
Alloa Athletic -- at home
Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 22 of its own 49 (45%); over 1.5 in 32 (65%); over 3.5 in 9 (18%). At home: over 2.5 in 12 of its 24 (50%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 20 of its own 49 (41%). At home: 10 of its 24 (42%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 18 of its own 49 (37%); failed to score in 15 (31%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Alloa Athletic's own 49 matches read: Alloa Athletic or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 20 (41%). Alloa Athletic itself held the lead in 13, winning 12. In its home matches: one side or the other went two up in 10 of 24.
Airdrieonians -- away
Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 24 of its own 49 (49%); over 1.5 in 32 (65%); over 3.5 in 13 (27%). Away: over 2.5 in 13 of its 24 (54%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 22 of its own 49 (45%). Away: 10 of its 24 (42%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 13 of its own 49 (27%); failed to score in 20 (41%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Airdrieonians's own 49 matches read: Airdrieonians or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 19 (39%). Airdrieonians itself held the lead in 6, winning 5. In its away matches: one side or the other went two up in 12 of 24.
Built 10:04 from matches completed before
kick-off. Every figure is an observed count with its denominator —
not a forecast, and nothing here is a tip or a selection.