Clyde scores heaviest in the 31-45+ spell and concedes heaviest in 31-45+; Edinburgh City scores heaviest in 31-45+ and concedes heaviest in 76-90+. The shapes mesh: Edinburgh City's strongest scoring spell is exactly where Clyde is softest.
Clyde: 41 league matches in the bank, 5 from this season and the rest from last season. Edinburgh City: 41 league matches in the bank, 5 from this season and the rest from last season.
The question this step asks
Step three is GOALS, AND WHEN THEY COME. Not just how many each side scores and lets in, but the minute bands they come in, who lands the first blow, what each side does after falling behind, and who finds goals late. A side that concedes early and scores late reads very differently from one that does the opposite, at the same goal difference.
Side by side: Clyde scores most in the 31-45+ band (16 of 69); Clyde concedes most in the 31-45+ band (12 of 47); Edinburgh City scores most in the 31-45+ band (12 of 51); Edinburgh City concedes most in the 76-90+ band (19 of 80). Who lands the first blow and who lands the last is the question this step exists to ask.
The two sides
Clyde -- at home
Goals a game
Scores 1.7 and concedes 1.1 a game over its last 41 league matches; at home, 1.8 for and 0.9 against over 20.
When it scores
Of 69 scored across its own 41 matches with times recorded: 1-15: 4; 16-30: 13; 31-45+: 16; 46-60: 13; 61-75: 11; 76-90+: 12.
When it concedes
Of 47 conceded across its own 41 matches with times recorded: 1-15: 3; 16-30: 7; 31-45+: 12; 46-60: 7; 61-75: 8; 76-90+: 10.
The first goal
Scored first in 23 of its 41 read -- then won 16, drew 3, lost 4; conceded first in 13 -- pulled back 1 win and 7 draws from them. Across every match where it trailed at some stage it recovered 10 points.
Two-goal swings
Led by two goals at some point in 15 of its 41 read, winning 14 of them; trailed by two in 8, rescuing 1 result; was ahead at some point without winning in 7.
Edinburgh City -- away
Goals a game
Scores 1.2 and concedes 2.0 a game over its last 41 league matches; away, 1.1 for and 1.7 against over 20.
When it scores
Of 51 scored across its own 41 matches with times recorded: 1-15: 6; 16-30: 9; 31-45+: 12; 46-60: 4; 61-75: 8; 76-90+: 12. Its heaviest scoring spell is after the 75th minute -- 12 of 51 (24%).
When it concedes
Of 80 conceded across its own 41 matches with times recorded: 1-15: 8; 16-30: 17; 31-45+: 11; 46-60: 7; 61-75: 18; 76-90+: 19. Its heaviest conceding spell is after the 75th minute -- 19 of 80 (24%).
The first goal
Scored first in 18 of its 41 read -- then won 10, drew 6, lost 2; conceded first in 21 -- pulled back 1 win and 4 draws from them. Across every match where it trailed at some stage it recovered 9 points.
Two-goal swings
Led by two goals at some point in 8 of its 41 read, winning 7 of them; trailed by two in 17, rescuing 1 result; was ahead at some point without winning in 8.
Built 06:38 from matches completed before
kick-off. Every figure is an observed count with its denominator —
not a forecast, and nothing here is a tip or a selection.