Stirling Albion v Spartans

Scottish League Two, game week 6 — UK time

Step 4 of 4 — The bookies' favourite markets.

What this step says

Averaging the two sides' own rates: over 2.5 goals in 59% of their games, both teams scoring in 61%, and a two-goal lead for one side or the other in 55%. On the record this leans a goals match.

Skip to the appraisal — and the market

Stirling Albion: 41 league matches in the bank, 5 from this season and the rest from last season. Spartans: 41 league matches in the bank, 5 from this season and the rest from last season.

The question this step asks

Step four is THE BOOKIES' FAVOURITE MARKETS -- over and under, both teams to score, and the two-goal lead that pays the 2UP offer out early -- read from what these two sides have actually produced, with the denominator on every figure. Still no price: these are the match's tendencies, not its odds.

How the counting works, once for the whole step: every figure is counted over ONE side's own matches -- Stirling Albion's numbers over its games, Spartans's over its own. The two clubs are never pooled into one denominator; where a single figure for this fixture is wanted, it is the AVERAGE of the two sides' rates, and says so.

For the 2UP offer the fact that matters is a two-goal lead for one team or the other at ANY point, not the final margin. In Stirling Albion's own 20 home matches read, one appeared in 10 (50%). In Spartans's own 20 away matches read, 12 (60%). Averaging the two sides' rates -- never pooling their matches -- that is 55% of games.

The two sides

Stirling Albion -- at home

Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 25 of its own 41 (61%); over 1.5 in 35 (85%); over 3.5 in 16 (39%). At home: over 2.5 in 10 of its 20 (50%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 25 of its own 41 (61%). At home: 11 of its 20 (55%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 6 of its own 41 (15%); failed to score in 11 (27%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Stirling Albion's own 41 matches read: Stirling Albion or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 25 (61%). Stirling Albion itself held the lead in 6, winning 6. In its home matches: one side or the other went two up in 10 of 20.

Spartans -- away

Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 23 of its own 41 (56%); over 1.5 in 34 (83%); over 3.5 in 14 (34%). Away: over 2.5 in 13 of its 20 (65%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 25 of its own 41 (61%). Away: 14 of its 20 (70%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 12 of its own 41 (29%); failed to score in 5 (12%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Spartans's own 41 matches read: Spartans or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 21 (51%). Spartans itself held the lead in 14, winning 13. In its away matches: one side or the other went two up in 12 of 20.

Built 06:38 from matches completed before kick-off. Every figure is an observed count with its denominator — not a forecast, and nothing here is a tip or a selection.