Averaging the two sides' own rates: over 2.5 goals in 53% of their games, both teams scoring in 61%, and a two-goal lead for one side or the other in 50%. On the record there is no strong lean either way on goals.
Spartans: 46 league matches in the bank, 10 from this season and the rest from last season. Stranraer: 46 league matches in the bank, 10 from this season and the rest from last season.
The question this step asks
Step four is THE BOOKIES' FAVOURITE MARKETS -- over and under, both teams to score, and the two-goal lead that pays the 2UP offer out early -- read from what these two sides have actually produced, with the denominator on every figure. Still no price: these are the match's tendencies, not its odds.
How the counting works, once for the whole step: every figure is counted over ONE side's own matches -- Spartans's numbers over its games, Stranraer's over its own. The two clubs are never pooled into one denominator; where a single figure for this fixture is wanted, it is the AVERAGE of the two sides' rates, and says so.
For the 2UP offer the fact that matters is a two-goal lead for one team or the other at ANY point, not the final margin. In Spartans's own 23 home matches read, one appeared in 11 (48%). In Stranraer's own 23 away matches read, 12 (52%). Averaging the two sides' rates -- never pooling their matches -- that is 50% of games.
The two sides
Spartans -- at home
Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 26 of its own 46 (57%); over 1.5 in 39 (85%); over 3.5 in 16 (35%). At home: over 2.5 in 11 of its 23 (48%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 27 of its own 46 (59%). At home: 12 of its 23 (52%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 13 of its own 46 (28%); failed to score in 7 (15%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Spartans's own 46 matches read: Spartans or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 26 (57%). Spartans itself held the lead in 17, winning 16. In its home matches: one side or the other went two up in 11 of 23.
Stranraer -- away
Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 23 of its own 46 (50%); over 1.5 in 35 (76%); over 3.5 in 14 (30%). Away: over 2.5 in 15 of its 23 (65%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 29 of its own 46 (63%). Away: 14 of its 23 (61%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 9 of its own 46 (20%); failed to score in 11 (24%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Stranraer's own 46 matches read: Stranraer or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 18 (39%). Stranraer itself held the lead in 11, winning 10. In its away matches: one side or the other went two up in 12 of 23.
Built 03:22 from matches completed before
kick-off. Every figure is an observed count with its denominator —
not a forecast, and nothing here is a tip or a selection.