Averaging the two sides' own rates: over 2.5 goals in 52% of their games, both teams scoring in 44%, and a two-goal lead for one side or the other in 54%. On the record there is no strong lean either way on goals.
Dundee: 42 league matches in the bank, 4 from this season and the rest from last season. St. Johnstone: 39 league matches in the bank, 3 from this season and the rest from last season in the Scottish Championship.
The question this step asks
Step four is THE BOOKIES' FAVOURITE MARKETS -- over and under, both teams to score, and the two-goal lead that pays the 2UP offer out early -- read from what these two sides have actually produced, with the denominator on every figure. Still no price: these are the match's tendencies, not its odds.
How the counting works, once for the whole step: every figure is counted over ONE side's own matches -- Dundee's numbers over its games, St. Johnstone's over its own. The two clubs are never pooled into one denominator; where a single figure for this fixture is wanted, it is the AVERAGE of the two sides' rates, and says so.
For the 2UP offer the fact that matters is a two-goal lead for one team or the other at ANY point, not the final margin. In Dundee's own 21 home matches read, one appeared in 12 (57%). In St. Johnstone's own 20 away matches read, 10 (50%). Averaging the two sides' rates -- never pooling their matches -- that is 54% of games.
The two sides
Dundee -- at home
Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 23 of its own 42 (55%); over 1.5 in 30 (71%); over 3.5 in 13 (31%). At home: over 2.5 in 14 of its 21 (67%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 19 of its own 42 (45%). At home: 13 of its 21 (62%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 9 of its own 42 (21%); failed to score in 16 (38%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Dundee's own 42 matches read: Dundee or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 20 (48%). Dundee itself held the lead in 8, winning 6. In its home matches: one side or the other went two up in 12 of 21.
St. Johnstone -- away
Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 19 of its own 39 (49%); over 1.5 in 26 (67%); over 3.5 in 12 (31%). Away: over 2.5 in 9 of its 20 (45%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 17 of its own 39 (44%). Away: 9 of its 20 (45%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 20 of its own 39 (51%); failed to score in 8 (21%).
Two goals clear
Counted over St. Johnstone's own 39 matches read: St. Johnstone or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 18 (46%). St. Johnstone itself held the lead in 15, winning 15. In its away matches: one side or the other went two up in 10 of 20.
Built 06:34 from matches completed before
kick-off. Every figure is an observed count with its denominator —
not a forecast, and nothing here is a tip or a selection.