Averaging the two sides' own rates: over 2.5 goals in 51% of their games, both teams scoring in 57%, and a two-goal lead for one side or the other in 47%. On the record there is no strong lean either way on goals.
Rangers: 42 league matches in the bank, 4 from this season and the rest from last season. Motherwell: 42 league matches in the bank, 4 from this season and the rest from last season.
The question this step asks
Step four is THE BOOKIES' FAVOURITE MARKETS -- over and under, both teams to score, and the two-goal lead that pays the 2UP offer out early -- read from what these two sides have actually produced, with the denominator on every figure. Still no price: these are the match's tendencies, not its odds.
How the counting works, once for the whole step: every figure is counted over ONE side's own matches -- Rangers's numbers over its games, Motherwell's over its own. The two clubs are never pooled into one denominator; where a single figure for this fixture is wanted, it is the AVERAGE of the two sides' rates, and says so.
For the 2UP offer the fact that matters is a two-goal lead for one team or the other at ANY point, not the final margin. In Rangers's own 20 home matches read, one appeared in 11 (55%). In Motherwell's own 21 away matches read, 8 (38%). Averaging the two sides' rates -- never pooling their matches -- that is 47% of games.
The two sides
Rangers -- at home
Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 25 of its own 42 (60%); over 1.5 in 34 (81%); over 3.5 in 14 (33%). At home: over 2.5 in 13 of its 20 (65%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 28 of its own 42 (67%). At home: 13 of its 20 (65%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 13 of its own 42 (31%); failed to score in 4 (10%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Rangers's own 42 matches read: Rangers or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 20 (48%). Rangers itself held the lead in 15, winning 14. In its home matches: one side or the other went two up in 11 of 20.
Motherwell -- away
Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 18 of its own 42 (43%); over 1.5 in 32 (76%); over 3.5 in 12 (29%). Away: over 2.5 in 11 of its 21 (52%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 20 of its own 42 (48%). Away: 13 of its 21 (62%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 20 of its own 42 (48%); failed to score in 8 (19%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Motherwell's own 42 matches read: Motherwell or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 19 (45%). Motherwell itself held the lead in 16, winning 14. In its away matches: one side or the other went two up in 8 of 21.
Built 06:39 from matches completed before
kick-off. Every figure is an observed count with its denominator —
not a forecast, and nothing here is a tip or a selection.