Averaging the two sides' own rates: over 2.5 goals in 57% of their games, both teams scoring in 52%, and a two-goal lead for one side or the other in 44%. On the record this leans a goals match.
Falkirk: 43 league matches in the bank, 5 from this season and the rest from last season. Hearts: 43 league matches in the bank, 5 from this season and the rest from last season.
The question this step asks
Step four is THE BOOKIES' FAVOURITE MARKETS -- over and under, both teams to score, and the two-goal lead that pays the 2UP offer out early -- read from what these two sides have actually produced, with the denominator on every figure. Still no price: these are the match's tendencies, not its odds.
How the counting works, once for the whole step: every figure is counted over ONE side's own matches -- Falkirk's numbers over its games, Hearts's over its own. The two clubs are never pooled into one denominator; where a single figure for this fixture is wanted, it is the AVERAGE of the two sides' rates, and says so.
For the 2UP offer the fact that matters is a two-goal lead for one team or the other at ANY point, not the final margin. In Falkirk's own 22 home matches read, one appeared in 10 (45%). In Hearts's own 21 away matches read, 9 (43%). Averaging the two sides' rates -- never pooling their matches -- that is 44% of games.
The two sides
Falkirk -- at home
Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 24 of its own 43 (56%); over 1.5 in 32 (74%); over 3.5 in 13 (30%). At home: over 2.5 in 13 of its 22 (59%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 23 of its own 43 (53%). At home: 15 of its 22 (68%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 10 of its own 43 (23%); failed to score in 13 (30%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Falkirk's own 43 matches read: Falkirk or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 22 (51%). Falkirk itself held the lead in 8, winning 7. In its home matches: one side or the other went two up in 10 of 22.
Hearts -- away
Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 25 of its own 43 (58%); over 1.5 in 32 (74%); over 3.5 in 13 (30%). Away: over 2.5 in 13 of its 21 (62%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 22 of its own 43 (51%). Away: 12 of its 21 (57%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 18 of its own 43 (42%); failed to score in 4 (9%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Hearts's own 43 matches read: Hearts or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 20 (47%). Hearts itself held the lead in 16, winning 16. In its away matches: one side or the other went two up in 9 of 21.
Built 07:02 from matches completed before
kick-off. Every figure is an observed count with its denominator —
not a forecast, and nothing here is a tip or a selection.