Dundee v Rangers

Scottish Premiership, game week 9 — UK time

Step 4 of 4 — The bookies' favourite markets.

What this step says

Averaging the two sides' own rates: over 2.5 goals in 57% of their games, both teams scoring in 57%, and a two-goal lead for one side or the other in 48%. On the record this leans a goals match.

Skip to the appraisal — and the market

Dundee: 46 league matches in the bank, 8 from this season and the rest from last season. Rangers: 46 league matches in the bank, 8 from this season and the rest from last season.

The question this step asks

Step four is THE BOOKIES' FAVOURITE MARKETS -- over and under, both teams to score, and the two-goal lead that pays the 2UP offer out early -- read from what these two sides have actually produced, with the denominator on every figure. Still no price: these are the match's tendencies, not its odds.

How the counting works, once for the whole step: every figure is counted over ONE side's own matches -- Dundee's numbers over its games, Rangers's over its own. The two clubs are never pooled into one denominator; where a single figure for this fixture is wanted, it is the AVERAGE of the two sides' rates, and says so.

For the 2UP offer the fact that matters is a two-goal lead for one team or the other at ANY point, not the final margin. In Dundee's own 23 home matches read, one appeared in 13 (57%). In Rangers's own 23 away matches read, 9 (39%). Averaging the two sides' rates -- never pooling their matches -- that is 48% of games.

The two sides

Dundee -- at home

Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 26 of its own 46 (57%); over 1.5 in 34 (74%); over 3.5 in 13 (28%). At home: over 2.5 in 15 of its 23 (65%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 23 of its own 46 (50%). At home: 15 of its 23 (65%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 9 of its own 46 (20%); failed to score in 16 (35%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Dundee's own 46 matches read: Dundee or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 21 (46%). Dundee itself held the lead in 9, winning 7. In its home matches: one side or the other went two up in 13 of 23.

Rangers -- away

Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 26 of its own 46 (57%); over 1.5 in 35 (76%); over 3.5 in 15 (33%). Away: over 2.5 in 12 of its 23 (52%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 29 of its own 46 (63%). Away: 15 of its 23 (65%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 16 of its own 46 (35%); failed to score in 4 (9%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Rangers's own 46 matches read: Rangers or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 21 (46%). Rangers itself held the lead in 16, winning 15. In its away matches: one side or the other went two up in 9 of 23.

Built 11:05 from matches completed before kick-off. Every figure is an observed count with its denominator — not a forecast, and nothing here is a tip or a selection.