Averaging the two sides' own rates: over 2.5 goals in 57% of their games, both teams scoring in 57%, and a two-goal lead for one side or the other in 51%. On the record this leans a goals match.
Hibernian: 46 league matches in the bank, 8 from this season and the rest from last season. Falkirk: 46 league matches in the bank, 8 from this season and the rest from last season.
The question this step asks
Step four is THE BOOKIES' FAVOURITE MARKETS -- over and under, both teams to score, and the two-goal lead that pays the 2UP offer out early -- read from what these two sides have actually produced, with the denominator on every figure. Still no price: these are the match's tendencies, not its odds.
How the counting works, once for the whole step: every figure is counted over ONE side's own matches -- Hibernian's numbers over its games, Falkirk's over its own. The two clubs are never pooled into one denominator; where a single figure for this fixture is wanted, it is the AVERAGE of the two sides' rates, and says so.
For the 2UP offer the fact that matters is a two-goal lead for one team or the other at ANY point, not the final margin. In Hibernian's own 23 home matches read, one appeared in 11 (48%). In Falkirk's own 22 away matches read, 12 (55%). Averaging the two sides' rates -- never pooling their matches -- that is 51% of games.
The two sides
Hibernian -- at home
Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 26 of its own 46 (57%); over 1.5 in 35 (76%); over 3.5 in 12 (26%). At home: over 2.5 in 12 of its 23 (52%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 26 of its own 46 (57%). At home: 12 of its 23 (52%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 11 of its own 46 (24%); failed to score in 13 (28%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Hibernian's own 46 matches read: Hibernian or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 21 (46%). Hibernian itself held the lead in 15, winning 13. In its home matches: one side or the other went two up in 11 of 23.
Falkirk -- away
Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 26 of its own 46 (57%); over 1.5 in 35 (76%); over 3.5 in 13 (28%). Away: over 2.5 in 11 of its 22 (50%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 26 of its own 46 (57%). Away: 9 of its 22 (41%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 10 of its own 46 (22%); failed to score in 13 (28%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Falkirk's own 46 matches read: Falkirk or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 22 (48%). Falkirk itself held the lead in 8, winning 7. In its away matches: one side or the other went two up in 12 of 22.
Built 07:05 from matches completed before
kick-off. Every figure is an observed count with its denominator —
not a forecast, and nothing here is a tip or a selection.