Averaging the two sides' own rates: over 2.5 goals in 61% of their games, both teams scoring in 53%, and a two-goal lead for one side or the other in 54%. On the record this leans a goals match.
Dundee: 48 league matches in the bank, 10 from this season and the rest from last season. Kilmarnock: 48 league matches in the bank, 10 from this season and the rest from last season.
The question this step asks
Step four is THE BOOKIES' FAVOURITE MARKETS -- over and under, both teams to score, and the two-goal lead that pays the 2UP offer out early -- read from what these two sides have actually produced, with the denominator on every figure. Still no price: these are the match's tendencies, not its odds.
How the counting works, once for the whole step: every figure is counted over ONE side's own matches -- Dundee's numbers over its games, Kilmarnock's over its own. The two clubs are never pooled into one denominator; where a single figure for this fixture is wanted, it is the AVERAGE of the two sides' rates, and says so.
For the 2UP offer the fact that matters is a two-goal lead for one team or the other at ANY point, not the final margin. In Dundee's own 24 home matches read, one appeared in 13 (54%). In Kilmarnock's own 24 away matches read, 13 (54%). Averaging the two sides' rates -- never pooling their matches -- that is 54% of games.
The two sides
Dundee -- at home
Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 28 of its own 48 (58%); over 1.5 in 36 (75%); over 3.5 in 14 (29%). At home: over 2.5 in 16 of its 24 (67%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 25 of its own 48 (52%). At home: 16 of its 24 (67%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 9 of its own 48 (19%); failed to score in 16 (33%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Dundee's own 48 matches read: Dundee or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 22 (46%). Dundee itself held the lead in 9, winning 7. In its home matches: one side or the other went two up in 13 of 24.
Kilmarnock -- away
Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 31 of its own 48 (65%); over 1.5 in 39 (81%); over 3.5 in 21 (44%). Away: over 2.5 in 16 of its 24 (67%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 26 of its own 48 (54%). Away: 14 of its 24 (58%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 11 of its own 48 (23%); failed to score in 14 (29%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Kilmarnock's own 48 matches read: Kilmarnock or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 27 (56%). Kilmarnock itself held the lead in 11, winning 9. In its away matches: one side or the other went two up in 13 of 24.
Built 09:03 from matches completed before
kick-off. Every figure is an observed count with its denominator —
not a forecast, and nothing here is a tip or a selection.