Averaging the two sides' own rates: over 2.5 goals in 48% of their games, both teams scoring in 50%, and a two-goal lead for one side or the other in 35%. On the record there is no strong lean either way on goals.
Dundee United: 49 league matches in the bank, 11 from this season and the rest from last season. Motherwell: 50 league matches in the bank, 12 from this season and the rest from last season.
The question this step asks
Step four is THE BOOKIES' FAVOURITE MARKETS -- over and under, both teams to score, and the two-goal lead that pays the 2UP offer out early -- read from what these two sides have actually produced, with the denominator on every figure. Still no price: these are the match's tendencies, not its odds.
How the counting works, once for the whole step: every figure is counted over ONE side's own matches -- Dundee United's numbers over its games, Motherwell's over its own. The two clubs are never pooled into one denominator; where a single figure for this fixture is wanted, it is the AVERAGE of the two sides' rates, and says so.
For the 2UP offer the fact that matters is a two-goal lead for one team or the other at ANY point, not the final margin. In Dundee United's own 24 home matches read, one appeared in 8 (33%). In Motherwell's own 25 away matches read, 9 (36%). Averaging the two sides' rates -- never pooling their matches -- that is 35% of games.
The two sides
Dundee United -- at home
Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 25 of its own 49 (51%); over 1.5 in 44 (90%); over 3.5 in 17 (35%). At home: over 2.5 in 10 of its 24 (42%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 26 of its own 49 (53%). At home: 12 of its 24 (50%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 10 of its own 49 (20%); failed to score in 16 (33%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Dundee United's own 49 matches read: Dundee United or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 23 (47%). Dundee United itself held the lead in 10, winning 8. In its home matches: one side or the other went two up in 8 of 24.
Motherwell -- away
Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 22 of its own 50 (44%); over 1.5 in 38 (76%); over 3.5 in 15 (30%). Away: over 2.5 in 14 of its 25 (56%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 23 of its own 50 (46%). Away: 16 of its 25 (64%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 21 of its own 50 (42%); failed to score in 12 (24%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Motherwell's own 50 matches read: Motherwell or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 23 (46%). Motherwell itself held the lead in 16, winning 14. In its away matches: one side or the other went two up in 9 of 25.
Built 10:04 from matches completed before
kick-off. Every figure is an observed count with its denominator —
not a forecast, and nothing here is a tip or a selection.