Averaging the two sides' own rates: over 2.5 goals in 61% of their games, both teams scoring in 64%, and a two-goal lead for one side or the other in 41%. On the record this leans a goals match.
Durham Women: 22 league matches in the bank, all from last season. Southampton W: 22 league matches in the bank, all from last season.
The question this step asks
Step four is THE BOOKIES' FAVOURITE MARKETS -- over and under, both teams to score, and the two-goal lead that pays the 2UP offer out early -- read from what these two sides have actually produced, with the denominator on every figure. Still no price: these are the match's tendencies, not its odds.
How the counting works, once for the whole step: every figure is counted over ONE side's own matches -- Durham Women's numbers over its games, Southampton W's over its own. The two clubs are never pooled into one denominator; where a single figure for this fixture is wanted, it is the AVERAGE of the two sides' rates, and says so.
For the 2UP offer the fact that matters is a two-goal lead for one team or the other at ANY point, not the final margin. In Durham Women's own 11 home matches read, one appeared in 3 (27%). In Southampton W's own 11 away matches read, 6 (55%). Averaging the two sides' rates -- never pooling their matches -- that is 41% of games.
The two sides
Durham Women -- at home
Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 14 of its own 22 (64%); over 1.5 in 20 (91%); over 3.5 in 4 (18%). At home: over 2.5 in 6 of its 11 (55%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 16 of its own 22 (73%). At home: 9 of its 11 (82%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 4 of its own 22 (18%); failed to score in 3 (14%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Durham Women's own 22 matches read: Durham Women or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 12 (55%). Durham Women itself held the lead in 3, winning 3. In its home matches: one side or the other went two up in 3 of 11.
Southampton W -- away
Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 13 of its own 22 (59%); over 1.5 in 17 (77%); over 3.5 in 8 (36%). Away: over 2.5 in 6 of its 11 (55%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 12 of its own 22 (55%). Away: 5 of its 11 (45%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 6 of its own 22 (27%); failed to score in 5 (23%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Southampton W's own 22 matches read: Southampton W or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 11 (50%). Southampton W itself held the lead in 9, winning 9. In its away matches: one side or the other went two up in 6 of 11.
Built 00:09 from matches completed before
kick-off. Every figure is an observed count with its denominator —
not a forecast, and nothing here is a tip or a selection.