Averaging the two sides' own rates: over 2.5 goals in 61% of their games, both teams scoring in 67%, and a two-goal lead for one side or the other in 46%. On the record this leans a goals match.
Watford LFC: 3 league matches in the bank. Sunderland Women: 25 league matches in the bank, 3 from this season and the rest from last season.
The question this step asks
Step four is THE BOOKIES' FAVOURITE MARKETS -- over and under, both teams to score, and the two-goal lead that pays the 2UP offer out early -- read from what these two sides have actually produced, with the denominator on every figure. Still no price: these are the match's tendencies, not its odds.
How the counting works, once for the whole step: every figure is counted over ONE side's own matches -- Watford LFC's numbers over its games, Sunderland Women's over its own. The two clubs are never pooled into one denominator; where a single figure for this fixture is wanted, it is the AVERAGE of the two sides' rates, and says so.
For the 2UP offer the fact that matters is a two-goal lead for one team or the other at ANY point, not the final margin. In Watford LFC's own 2 home matches read, one appeared in 1 (50%). In Sunderland Women's own 12 away matches read, 5 (42%). Averaging the two sides' rates -- never pooling their matches -- that is 46% of games.
The two sides
Watford LFC -- at home
Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 2 of its own 3 (67%); over 1.5 in 2 (67%); over 3.5 in 2 (67%). At home: over 2.5 in 1 of its 2 (50%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 2 of its own 3 (67%). At home: 1 of its 2 (50%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 1 of its own 3 (33%); failed to score in 1 (33%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Watford LFC's own 3 matches read: Watford LFC or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 2 (67%). Watford LFC itself held the lead in 1, winning 0. In its home matches: one side or the other went two up in 1 of 2.
Sunderland Women -- away
Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 14 of its own 25 (56%); over 1.5 in 20 (80%); over 3.5 in 8 (32%). Away: over 2.5 in 7 of its 12 (58%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 17 of its own 25 (68%). Away: 7 of its 12 (58%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 4 of its own 25 (16%); failed to score in 5 (20%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Sunderland Women's own 25 matches read: Sunderland Women or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 10 (40%). Sunderland Women itself held the lead in 4, winning 4. In its away matches: one side or the other went two up in 5 of 12.
Built 00:05 from matches completed before
kick-off. Every figure is an observed count with its denominator —
not a forecast, and nothing here is a tip or a selection.