Brighton & Hove Albion Women scores heaviest in the 31-45+ spell and concedes heaviest in 76-90+; Arsenal Women scores heaviest in 76-90+ and concedes heaviest in 76-90+. The shapes mesh: Arsenal Women's strongest scoring spell is exactly where Brighton & Hove Albion Women is softest.
Brighton & Hove Albion Women: 22 league matches in the bank, all from last season. Arsenal Women: 22 league matches in the bank, all from last season.
The question this step asks
Step three is GOALS, AND WHEN THEY COME. Not just how many each side scores and lets in, but the minute bands they come in, who lands the first blow, what each side does after falling behind, and who finds goals late. A side that concedes early and scores late reads very differently from one that does the opposite, at the same goal difference.
Side by side: Brighton & Hove Albion Women scores most in the 31-45+ band (6 of 27); Brighton & Hove Albion Women concedes most in the 76-90+ band (8 of 28); Arsenal Women scores most in the 76-90+ band (14 of 53); Arsenal Women concedes most in the 76-90+ band (4 of 14). Who lands the first blow and who lands the last is the question this step exists to ask.
The two sides
Brighton & Hove Albion Women -- at home
Goals a game
Scores 1.2 and concedes 1.3 a game over its last 22 league matches; at home, 1.5 for and 1.4 against over 11.
When it scores
Of 27 scored across its own 22 matches with times recorded: 1-15: 3; 16-30: 5; 31-45+: 6; 46-60: 5; 61-75: 3; 76-90+: 5.
When it concedes
Of 28 conceded across its own 22 matches with times recorded: 1-15: 3; 16-30: 2; 31-45+: 5; 46-60: 6; 61-75: 4; 76-90+: 8. Its heaviest conceding spell is after the 75th minute -- 8 of 28 (29%).
The first goal
Scored first in 13 of its 22 read -- then won 6, drew 2, lost 5; conceded first in 7 -- pulled back 1 win and 1 draw from them. Across every match where it trailed at some stage it recovered 4 points.
Two-goal swings
Led by two goals at some point in 4 of its 22 read, winning 3 of them; trailed by two in 2, rescuing nothing; was ahead at some point without winning in 7.
Arsenal Women -- away
Goals a game
Scores 2.4 and concedes 0.6 a game over its last 22 league matches; away, 2.3 for and 0.7 against over 11.
When it scores
Of 53 scored across its own 22 matches with times recorded: 1-15: 10; 16-30: 8; 31-45+: 8; 46-60: 8; 61-75: 5; 76-90+: 14. Its heaviest scoring spell is after the 75th minute -- 14 of 53 (26%).
When it concedes
Of 14 conceded across its own 22 matches with times recorded: 1-15: 3; 16-30: 3; 31-45+: 2; 46-60: 0; 61-75: 2; 76-90+: 4. Its heaviest conceding spell is after the 75th minute -- 4 of 14 (29%).
The first goal
Scored first in 14 of its 22 read -- then won 13, drew 1, lost 0; conceded first in 5 -- pulled back 2 wins and 2 draws from them. Across every match where it trailed at some stage it recovered 8 points.
Two-goal swings
Led by two goals at some point in 11 of its 22 read, winning 11 of them; was ahead at some point without winning in 1.
Built 00:09 from matches completed before
kick-off. Every figure is an observed count with its denominator —
not a forecast, and nothing here is a tip or a selection.