Tottenham Hotspur Women v West Ham United Women

Women's Super League, game week 1 — UK time

Step 3 of 4 — Goals, and when they come.

What this step says

Tottenham Hotspur Women scores heaviest in the 76-90+ spell and concedes heaviest in 76-90+; West Ham United Women scores heaviest in 46-60 and concedes heaviest in 76-90+. The shapes mesh: Tottenham Hotspur Women's strongest scoring spell is exactly where West Ham United Women is softest.

Skip to the appraisal — and the market

Tottenham Hotspur Women: 22 league matches in the bank, all from last season. West Ham United Women: 22 league matches in the bank, all from last season.

The question this step asks

Step three is GOALS, AND WHEN THEY COME. Not just how many each side scores and lets in, but the minute bands they come in, who lands the first blow, what each side does after falling behind, and who finds goals late. A side that concedes early and scores late reads very differently from one that does the opposite, at the same goal difference.

Side by side: Tottenham Hotspur Women scores most in the 76-90+ band (11 of 35); Tottenham Hotspur Women concedes most in the 76-90+ band (13 of 38); West Ham United Women scores most in the 46-60 band (5 of 20); West Ham United Women concedes most in the 76-90+ band (11 of 45). Who lands the first blow and who lands the last is the question this step exists to ask.

The two sides

Tottenham Hotspur Women -- at home

Goals a game
Scores 1.6 and concedes 1.7 a game over its last 22 league matches; at home, 1.0 for and 1.1 against over 11.
When it scores
Of 35 scored across its own 22 matches with times recorded: 1-15: 4; 16-30: 8; 31-45+: 4; 46-60: 3; 61-75: 5; 76-90+: 11. Its heaviest scoring spell is after the 75th minute -- 11 of 35 (31%).
When it concedes
Of 38 conceded across its own 22 matches with times recorded: 1-15: 7; 16-30: 5; 31-45+: 6; 46-60: 3; 61-75: 4; 76-90+: 13. Its heaviest conceding spell is after the 75th minute -- 13 of 38 (34%).
The first goal
Scored first in 8 of its 22 read -- then won 7, drew 1, lost 0; conceded first in 12 -- pulled back 4 wins and 0 draws from them. Across every match where it trailed at some stage it recovered 12 points.
Two-goal swings
Led by two goals at some point in 5 of its 22 read, winning 4 of them; trailed by two in 6, rescuing nothing; was ahead at some point without winning in 1.

West Ham United Women -- away

Goals a game
Scores 0.9 and concedes 2.0 a game over its last 22 league matches; away, 0.6 for and 1.9 against over 11.
When it scores
Of 20 scored across its own 22 matches with times recorded: 1-15: 3; 16-30: 0; 31-45+: 3; 46-60: 5; 61-75: 4; 76-90+: 5. Its heaviest scoring spell is after the 75th minute -- 5 of 20 (25%).
When it concedes
Of 45 conceded across its own 22 matches with times recorded: 1-15: 7; 16-30: 5; 31-45+: 5; 46-60: 8; 61-75: 9; 76-90+: 11. Its heaviest conceding spell is after the 75th minute -- 11 of 45 (24%).
The first goal
Scored first in 8 of its 22 read -- then won 4, drew 2, lost 2; conceded first in 13 -- pulled back 1 win and 1 draw from them. Across every match where it trailed at some stage it recovered 4 points.
Two-goal swings
Led by two goals at some point in 3 of its 22 read, winning 3 of them; trailed by two in 8, rescuing 1 result; was ahead at some point without winning in 4.

Built 00:09 from matches completed before kick-off. Every figure is an observed count with its denominator — not a forecast, and nothing here is a tip or a selection.