Averaging the two sides' own rates: over 2.5 goals in 54% of their games, both teams scoring in 52%, and a two-goal lead for one side or the other in 60%. On the record there is no strong lean either way on goals.
Chelsea Women: 27 league matches in the bank, 5 from this season and the rest from last season. Tottenham Hotspur Women: 27 league matches in the bank, 5 from this season and the rest from last season.
The question this step asks
Step four is THE BOOKIES' FAVOURITE MARKETS -- over and under, both teams to score, and the two-goal lead that pays the 2UP offer out early -- read from what these two sides have actually produced, with the denominator on every figure. Still no price: these are the match's tendencies, not its odds.
How the counting works, once for the whole step: every figure is counted over ONE side's own matches -- Chelsea Women's numbers over its games, Tottenham Hotspur Women's over its own. The two clubs are never pooled into one denominator; where a single figure for this fixture is wanted, it is the AVERAGE of the two sides' rates, and says so.
For the 2UP offer the fact that matters is a two-goal lead for one team or the other at ANY point, not the final margin. In Chelsea Women's own 14 home matches read, one appeared in 7 (50%). In Tottenham Hotspur Women's own 13 away matches read, 9 (69%). Averaging the two sides' rates -- never pooling their matches -- that is 60% of games.
The two sides
Chelsea Women -- at home
Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 12 of its own 27 (44%); over 1.5 in 22 (81%); over 3.5 in 8 (30%). At home: over 2.5 in 4 of its 14 (29%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 12 of its own 27 (44%). At home: 4 of its 14 (29%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 13 of its own 27 (48%); failed to score in 2 (7%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Chelsea Women's own 27 matches read: Chelsea Women or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 16 (59%). Chelsea Women itself held the lead in 14, winning 14. In its home matches: one side or the other went two up in 7 of 14.
Tottenham Hotspur Women -- away
Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 17 of its own 27 (63%); over 1.5 in 21 (78%); over 3.5 in 10 (37%). Away: over 2.5 in 9 of its 13 (69%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 16 of its own 27 (59%). Away: 9 of its 13 (69%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 8 of its own 27 (30%); failed to score in 5 (19%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Tottenham Hotspur Women's own 27 matches read: Tottenham Hotspur Women or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 15 (56%). Tottenham Hotspur Women itself held the lead in 8, winning 7. In its away matches: one side or the other went two up in 9 of 13.
Built 00:06 from matches completed before
kick-off. Every figure is an observed count with its denominator —
not a forecast, and nothing here is a tip or a selection.