Manchester City Women v Brighton & Hove Albion Women
Women's Super League, game week 6 — UK time
Step 4 of 4 — The bookies' favourite markets.
What this step says
Averaging the two sides' own rates: over 2.5 goals in 63% of their games, both teams scoring in 61%, and a two-goal lead for one side or the other in 47%. On the record this leans a goals match.
Manchester City Women: 27 league matches in the bank, 5 from this season and the rest from last season. Brighton & Hove Albion Women: 27 league matches in the bank, 5 from this season and the rest from last season.
The question this step asks
Step four is THE BOOKIES' FAVOURITE MARKETS -- over and under, both teams to score, and the two-goal lead that pays the 2UP offer out early -- read from what these two sides have actually produced, with the denominator on every figure. Still no price: these are the match's tendencies, not its odds.
How the counting works, once for the whole step: every figure is counted over ONE side's own matches -- Manchester City Women's numbers over its games, Brighton & Hove Albion Women's over its own. The two clubs are never pooled into one denominator; where a single figure for this fixture is wanted, it is the AVERAGE of the two sides' rates, and says so.
For the 2UP offer the fact that matters is a two-goal lead for one team or the other at ANY point, not the final margin. In Manchester City Women's own 14 home matches read, one appeared in 10 (71%). In Brighton & Hove Albion Women's own 13 away matches read, 3 (23%). Averaging the two sides' rates -- never pooling their matches -- that is 47% of games.
The two sides
Manchester City Women -- at home
Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 21 of its own 27 (78%); over 1.5 in 22 (81%); over 3.5 in 13 (48%). At home: over 2.5 in 11 of its 14 (79%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 17 of its own 27 (63%). At home: 9 of its 14 (64%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 9 of its own 27 (33%); failed to score in 2 (7%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Manchester City Women's own 27 matches read: Manchester City Women or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 17 (63%). Manchester City Women itself held the lead in 15, winning 15. In its home matches: one side or the other went two up in 10 of 14.
Brighton & Hove Albion Women -- away
Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 13 of its own 27 (48%); over 1.5 in 18 (67%); over 3.5 in 7 (26%). Away: over 2.5 in 5 of its 13 (38%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 16 of its own 27 (59%). Away: 7 of its 13 (54%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 6 of its own 27 (22%); failed to score in 7 (26%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Brighton & Hove Albion Women's own 27 matches read: Brighton & Hove Albion Women or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 9 (33%). Brighton & Hove Albion Women itself held the lead in 5, winning 4. In its away matches: one side or the other went two up in 3 of 13.
Built 00:06 from matches completed before
kick-off. Every figure is an observed count with its denominator —
not a forecast, and nothing here is a tip or a selection.