Averaging the two sides' own rates: over 2.5 goals in 50% of their games, both teams scoring in 50%, and a two-goal lead for one side or the other in 43%. On the record there is no strong lean either way on goals.
Chelsea Women: 30 league matches in the bank, 8 from this season and the rest from last season. Everton Women: 30 league matches in the bank, 8 from this season and the rest from last season.
The question this step asks
Step four is THE BOOKIES' FAVOURITE MARKETS -- over and under, both teams to score, and the two-goal lead that pays the 2UP offer out early -- read from what these two sides have actually produced, with the denominator on every figure. Still no price: these are the match's tendencies, not its odds.
How the counting works, once for the whole step: every figure is counted over ONE side's own matches -- Chelsea Women's numbers over its games, Everton Women's over its own. The two clubs are never pooled into one denominator; where a single figure for this fixture is wanted, it is the AVERAGE of the two sides' rates, and says so.
For the 2UP offer the fact that matters is a two-goal lead for one team or the other at ANY point, not the final margin. In Chelsea Women's own 15 home matches read, one appeared in 8 (53%). In Everton Women's own 15 away matches read, 5 (33%). Averaging the two sides' rates -- never pooling their matches -- that is 43% of games.
The two sides
Chelsea Women -- at home
Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 15 of its own 30 (50%); over 1.5 in 25 (83%); over 3.5 in 11 (37%). At home: over 2.5 in 5 of its 15 (33%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 14 of its own 30 (47%). At home: 5 of its 15 (33%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 14 of its own 30 (47%); failed to score in 2 (7%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Chelsea Women's own 30 matches read: Chelsea Women or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 19 (63%). Chelsea Women itself held the lead in 17, winning 17. In its home matches: one side or the other went two up in 8 of 15.
Everton Women -- away
Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 15 of its own 30 (50%); over 1.5 in 19 (63%); over 3.5 in 8 (27%). Away: over 2.5 in 6 of its 15 (40%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 16 of its own 30 (53%). Away: 7 of its 15 (47%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 7 of its own 30 (23%); failed to score in 8 (27%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Everton Women's own 30 matches read: Everton Women or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 12 (40%). Everton Women itself held the lead in 1, winning 1. In its away matches: one side or the other went two up in 5 of 15.
Built 02:25 from matches completed before
kick-off. Every figure is an observed count with its denominator —
not a forecast, and nothing here is a tip or a selection.