Averaging the two sides' own rates: over 2.5 goals in 47% of their games, both teams scoring in 61%, and a two-goal lead for one side or the other in 48%. On the record there is no strong lean either way on goals.
Wrexham: 48 league matches in the bank, 2 from this season and the rest from last season. Birmingham City: 48 league matches in the bank, 2 from this season and the rest from last season.
The question this step asks
Step four is THE BOOKIES' FAVOURITE MARKETS -- over and under, both teams to score, and the two-goal lead that pays the 2UP offer out early -- read from what these two sides have actually produced, with the denominator on every figure. Still no price: these are the match's tendencies, not its odds.
How the counting works, once for the whole step: every figure is counted over ONE side's own matches -- Wrexham's numbers over its games, Birmingham City's over its own. The two clubs are never pooled into one denominator; where a single figure for this fixture is wanted, it is the AVERAGE of the two sides' rates, and says so.
For the 2UP offer the fact that matters is a two-goal lead for one team or the other at ANY point, not the final margin. In Wrexham's own 24 home matches read, one appeared in 14 (58%). In Birmingham City's own 24 away matches read, 9 (38%). Averaging the two sides' rates -- never pooling their matches -- that is 48% of games.
The two sides
Wrexham -- at home
Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 23 of its own 48 (48%); over 1.5 in 40 (83%); over 3.5 in 15 (31%). At home: over 2.5 in 13 of its 24 (54%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 32 of its own 48 (67%). At home: 18 of its 24 (75%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 12 of its own 48 (25%); failed to score in 6 (12%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Wrexham's own 48 matches read: Wrexham or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 22 (46%). Wrexham itself held the lead in 12, winning 11. In its home matches: one side or the other went two up in 14 of 24.
Birmingham City -- away
Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 22 of its own 48 (46%); over 1.5 in 37 (77%); over 3.5 in 9 (19%). Away: over 2.5 in 10 of its 24 (42%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 27 of its own 48 (56%). Away: 11 of its 24 (46%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 11 of its own 48 (23%); failed to score in 12 (25%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Birmingham City's own 48 matches read: Birmingham City or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 18 (38%). Birmingham City itself held the lead in 10, winning 10. In its away matches: one side or the other went two up in 9 of 24.
Built 00:02 from matches completed before
kick-off. Every figure is an observed count with its denominator —
not a forecast, and nothing here is a tip or a selection.