-0.69 points a game is the venue form gap, in Bristol City's favour: Burnley takes 0.71 a game at home over the last two seasons, Bristol City 1.40 away.
Burnley: 42 league matches in the bank, 4 from this season and the rest from last season in the Premier League. Bristol City: 50 league matches in the bank, 4 from this season and the rest from last season.
The question this step asks
Step two is HOME AND AWAY FORM -- the home side judged on its home record, the away side on its away record, because those are the records that will be on the pitch. The last five reach back into last season where this season is too young to answer, and say so.
The two sides
Burnley -- at home
Its record at the relevant venue
This season at home: won 0, drew 2, lost 0 of 2, scoring 3 and conceding 3. Last season at home in the Premier League: won 2, drew 7, lost 10 of 19, scoring 18 and conceding 29 -- 0.68 points a game.
Its last five league matches
Newest first: drew with Middlesbrough 1-1 at home; lost to Norwich City 1-4 away; lost to West Bromwich Albion 1-3 away; drew with West Ham United 2-2 at home; drew with Wolverhampton Wanderers 1-1 at home in the Premier League. The last of these is from last season.
The dugout
The banked record belongs to the club, not one man: 2 different managers took its 38 matches with one recorded (34, 4 apiece), most recently Nicky Hayen with 4. Who picks the team today is not yet recorded this season, so a summer change of manager would not show in these figures.
Bristol City -- away
Its record at the relevant venue
This season away: won 1, drew 1, lost 0 of 2, scoring 5 and conceding 3. Last season away: won 8, drew 7, lost 8 of 23, scoring 26 and conceding 28 -- 1.35 points a game.
Its last five league matches
Newest first: beat Preston North End 3-1 away; beat Portsmouth 2-1 at home; drew with Birmingham City 2-2 away; lost to Millwall 0-2 at home; beat Stoke City 2-0 at home. The last of these is from last season.
The dugout
The banked record belongs to the club, not one man: 3 different managers took its 34 matches with one recorded (23, 7, 4 apiece), most recently Michael Skubala with 4. Who picks the team today is not yet recorded this season, so a summer change of manager would not show in these figures.
Built 06:39 from matches completed before
kick-off. Every figure is an observed count with its denominator —
not a forecast, and nothing here is a tip or a selection.