Preston North End v Blackburn Rovers

Championship, game week 5 — UK time

Step 4 of 4 — The bookies' favourite markets.

What this step says

Averaging the two sides' own rates: over 2.5 goals in 46% of their games, both teams scoring in 55%, and a two-goal lead for one side or the other in 46%. On the record there is no strong lean either way on goals.

Skip to the appraisal — and the market

Preston North End: 50 league matches in the bank, 4 from this season and the rest from last season. Blackburn Rovers: 50 league matches in the bank, 4 from this season and the rest from last season.

The question this step asks

Step four is THE BOOKIES' FAVOURITE MARKETS -- over and under, both teams to score, and the two-goal lead that pays the 2UP offer out early -- read from what these two sides have actually produced, with the denominator on every figure. Still no price: these are the match's tendencies, not its odds.

How the counting works, once for the whole step: every figure is counted over ONE side's own matches -- Preston North End's numbers over its games, Blackburn Rovers's over its own. The two clubs are never pooled into one denominator; where a single figure for this fixture is wanted, it is the AVERAGE of the two sides' rates, and says so.

For the 2UP offer the fact that matters is a two-goal lead for one team or the other at ANY point, not the final margin. In Preston North End's own 25 home matches read, one appeared in 12 (48%). In Blackburn Rovers's own 25 away matches read, 11 (44%). Averaging the two sides' rates -- never pooling their matches -- that is 46% of games.

The two sides

Preston North End -- at home

Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 25 of its own 50 (50%); over 1.5 in 40 (80%); over 3.5 in 13 (26%). At home: over 2.5 in 13 of its 25 (52%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 30 of its own 50 (60%). At home: 15 of its 25 (60%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 9 of its own 50 (18%); failed to score in 13 (26%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Preston North End's own 50 matches read: Preston North End or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 24 (48%). Preston North End itself held the lead in 9, winning 8. In its home matches: one side or the other went two up in 12 of 25.

Blackburn Rovers -- away

Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 21 of its own 50 (42%); over 1.5 in 35 (70%); over 3.5 in 7 (14%). Away: over 2.5 in 12 of its 25 (48%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 25 of its own 50 (50%). Away: 10 of its 25 (40%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 13 of its own 50 (26%); failed to score in 17 (34%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Blackburn Rovers's own 50 matches read: Blackburn Rovers or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 17 (34%). Blackburn Rovers itself held the lead in 5, winning 5. In its away matches: one side or the other went two up in 11 of 25.

Built 06:38 from matches completed before kick-off. Every figure is an observed count with its denominator — not a forecast, and nothing here is a tip or a selection.