Averaging the two sides' own rates: over 2.5 goals in 43% of their games, both teams scoring in 51%, and a two-goal lead for one side or the other in 42%. On the record this leans a tight match.
Stoke City: 50 league matches in the bank, 4 from this season and the rest from last season. Charlton Athletic: 50 league matches in the bank, 4 from this season and the rest from last season.
The question this step asks
Step four is THE BOOKIES' FAVOURITE MARKETS -- over and under, both teams to score, and the two-goal lead that pays the 2UP offer out early -- read from what these two sides have actually produced, with the denominator on every figure. Still no price: these are the match's tendencies, not its odds.
How the counting works, once for the whole step: every figure is counted over ONE side's own matches -- Stoke City's numbers over its games, Charlton Athletic's over its own. The two clubs are never pooled into one denominator; where a single figure for this fixture is wanted, it is the AVERAGE of the two sides' rates, and says so.
For the 2UP offer the fact that matters is a two-goal lead for one team or the other at ANY point, not the final margin. In Stoke City's own 25 home matches read, one appeared in 11 (44%). In Charlton Athletic's own 25 away matches read, 10 (40%). Averaging the two sides' rates -- never pooling their matches -- that is 42% of games.
The two sides
Stoke City -- at home
Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 23 of its own 50 (46%); over 1.5 in 35 (70%); over 3.5 in 11 (22%). At home: over 2.5 in 14 of its 25 (56%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 23 of its own 50 (46%). At home: 15 of its 25 (60%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 14 of its own 50 (28%); failed to score in 17 (34%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Stoke City's own 50 matches read: Stoke City or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 25 (50%). Stoke City itself held the lead in 11, winning 10. In its home matches: one side or the other went two up in 11 of 25.
Charlton Athletic -- away
Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 20 of its own 50 (40%); over 1.5 in 34 (68%); over 3.5 in 7 (14%). Away: over 2.5 in 9 of its 25 (36%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 28 of its own 50 (56%). Away: 15 of its 25 (60%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 14 of its own 50 (28%); failed to score in 10 (20%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Charlton Athletic's own 50 matches read: Charlton Athletic or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 16 (32%). Charlton Athletic itself held the lead in 6, winning 5. In its away matches: one side or the other went two up in 10 of 25.
Built 06:38 from matches completed before
kick-off. Every figure is an observed count with its denominator —
not a forecast, and nothing here is a tip or a selection.