Averaging the two sides' own rates: over 2.5 goals in 47% of their games, both teams scoring in 57%, and a two-goal lead for one side or the other in 40%. On the record there is no strong lean either way on goals.
West Bromwich Albion: 50 league matches in the bank, 4 from this season and the rest from last season. Watford: 50 league matches in the bank, 4 from this season and the rest from last season.
The question this step asks
Step four is THE BOOKIES' FAVOURITE MARKETS -- over and under, both teams to score, and the two-goal lead that pays the 2UP offer out early -- read from what these two sides have actually produced, with the denominator on every figure. Still no price: these are the match's tendencies, not its odds.
How the counting works, once for the whole step: every figure is counted over ONE side's own matches -- West Bromwich Albion's numbers over its games, Watford's over its own. The two clubs are never pooled into one denominator; where a single figure for this fixture is wanted, it is the AVERAGE of the two sides' rates, and says so.
For the 2UP offer the fact that matters is a two-goal lead for one team or the other at ANY point, not the final margin. In West Bromwich Albion's own 25 home matches read, one appeared in 11 (44%). In Watford's own 25 away matches read, 9 (36%). Averaging the two sides' rates -- never pooling their matches -- that is 40% of games.
The two sides
West Bromwich Albion -- at home
Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 24 of its own 50 (48%); over 1.5 in 35 (70%); over 3.5 in 10 (20%). At home: over 2.5 in 11 of its 25 (44%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 27 of its own 50 (54%). At home: 14 of its 25 (56%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 14 of its own 50 (28%); failed to score in 15 (30%).
Two goals clear
Counted over West Bromwich Albion's own 50 matches read: West Bromwich Albion or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 23 (46%). West Bromwich Albion itself held the lead in 10, winning 8. In its home matches: one side or the other went two up in 11 of 25.
Watford -- away
Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 23 of its own 50 (46%); over 1.5 in 41 (82%); over 3.5 in 11 (22%). Away: over 2.5 in 12 of its 25 (48%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 30 of its own 50 (60%). Away: 16 of its 25 (64%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 7 of its own 50 (14%); failed to score in 15 (30%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Watford's own 50 matches read: Watford or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 20 (40%). Watford itself held the lead in 6, winning 6. In its away matches: one side or the other went two up in 9 of 25.
Built 06:39 from matches completed before
kick-off. Every figure is an observed count with its denominator —
not a forecast, and nothing here is a tip or a selection.