Birmingham City v Wolverhampton Wanderers

Championship, game week 5 — UK time

Step 4 of 4 — The bookies' favourite markets.

What this step says

Averaging the two sides' own rates: over 2.5 goals in 48% of their games, both teams scoring in 54%, and a two-goal lead for one side or the other in 44%. On the record there is no strong lean either way on goals.

Skip to the appraisal — and the market

Birmingham City: 50 league matches in the bank, 4 from this season and the rest from last season. Wolverhampton Wanderers: 42 league matches in the bank, 4 from this season and the rest from last season in the Premier League.

The question this step asks

Step four is THE BOOKIES' FAVOURITE MARKETS -- over and under, both teams to score, and the two-goal lead that pays the 2UP offer out early -- read from what these two sides have actually produced, with the denominator on every figure. Still no price: these are the match's tendencies, not its odds.

How the counting works, once for the whole step: every figure is counted over ONE side's own matches -- Birmingham City's numbers over its games, Wolverhampton Wanderers's over its own. The two clubs are never pooled into one denominator; where a single figure for this fixture is wanted, it is the AVERAGE of the two sides' rates, and says so.

For the 2UP offer the fact that matters is a two-goal lead for one team or the other at ANY point, not the final margin. In Birmingham City's own 25 home matches read, one appeared in 9 (36%). In Wolverhampton Wanderers's own 21 away matches read, 11 (52%). Averaging the two sides' rates -- never pooling their matches -- that is 44% of games.

The two sides

Birmingham City -- at home

Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 23 of its own 50 (46%); over 1.5 in 39 (78%); over 3.5 in 9 (18%). At home: over 2.5 in 12 of its 25 (48%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 29 of its own 50 (58%). At home: 17 of its 25 (68%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 11 of its own 50 (22%); failed to score in 12 (24%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Birmingham City's own 50 matches read: Birmingham City or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 18 (36%). Birmingham City itself held the lead in 10, winning 10. In its home matches: one side or the other went two up in 9 of 25.

Wolverhampton Wanderers -- away

Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 21 of its own 42 (50%); over 1.5 in 34 (81%); over 3.5 in 13 (31%). Away: over 2.5 in 10 of its 21 (48%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 21 of its own 42 (50%). Away: 9 of its 21 (43%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 4 of its own 42 (10%); failed to score in 19 (45%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Wolverhampton Wanderers's own 42 matches read: Wolverhampton Wanderers or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 24 (57%). Wolverhampton Wanderers itself held the lead in 4, winning 4. In its away matches: one side or the other went two up in 11 of 21.

Built 06:40 from matches completed before kick-off. Every figure is an observed count with its denominator — not a forecast, and nothing here is a tip or a selection.